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  1. nfelo...
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  3. texans @ browns week 12, 2008

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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HOU logo
HOUTexans
3-7
16
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
30°F
12 mph
6
CLEBrowns
4-6
CLE logo
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
30°F
12 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
7
6
3
0
16
Browns
0
6
0
0
6

Game Statistics

General
Texans logo
Browns logo
Total Yards
383
240
Total Plays
69
52
Yards / Play
5.6
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.16
-0.45
Passing Yards
271
--
Comp/Att
24/32(75%)
13/32(41%)
Yards / Pass
8.5
--
EPA / Pass
+0.22
-0.59
Rushing Yards
112
95
Rush Attempts
36
20
Yards / Rush
3.1
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.29
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
Texans logo
Browns logo
1st Downs
19
15
Passing 1st downs
13
6
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
25%
22%
3rd Down Conversions
4
2
3rd Down Attempts
16
9
Red Zone %
20%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Texans logo
Browns logo
Turnovers
2
5
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-8.58
-22.34
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-4
--
Sack EPA
-0.92
--
Penalties
11
5
Penalty Yards
84
--
Penalty EPA
-7.21
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
HOU logo
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Texans Offense vs Browns Defense
Texans logo
Browns logo

Total

Points / Game
16
15
Yards / Game
3
26
Passing Yards / Game
2
6
Rushing Yards / Game
12
28

EPA

EPA / Play
13
13
EPA / Pass
12
28
EPA / Rush
8
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
6
25
Interceptions / Game
29
2
Fumbles / Game
12
20
Turnover EPA / Game
4
24

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
30
4th Down Efficiency
7
25
RZ Efficiency
27
12
Browns Offense vs Texans Defense
Browns logo
Texans logo

Total

Points / Game
30
27
Yards / Game
31
22
Passing Yards / Game
32
16
Rushing Yards / Game
26
23

EPA

EPA / Play
30
25
EPA / Pass
30
19
EPA / Rush
19
30

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
16
Interceptions / Game
29
23
Fumbles / Game
3
12
Turnover EPA / Game
9
12

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
16
4th Down Efficiency
23
32
RZ Efficiency
31
29

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

HOU logo

Texans

3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/07
-21
L
L
P
09/21
-19
L
L
P
09/28
-3
L
W
P
10/05
-4
L
P
P
10/12
1
W
L
P
10/19
7
W
L
P
10/26
29
W
W
P
11/02
-7
L
L
P
11/09
-28
L
L
P
11/16
-6
L
W
P
CLE logo

Browns

4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/07
-18
L
L
P
09/14
-4
L
W
P
09/21
-18
L
L
P
09/28
8
W
W
P
10/13
21
W
W
P
10/19
-3
L
W
P
10/26
6
W
W
P
11/02
-10
L
L
P
11/06
-4
L
L
P
11/17
2
W
W
P