HOUTexans
0-2
24
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
71°F
3 mph
21
KCChiefs
0-2
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
71°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
0
6
2
10
18
Chiefs
7
0
7
7
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
298
364
Total Plays
55
69
Yards / Play
5.4
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.17
+0.06
Passing Yards
220
196
Comp/Att
13/25(52%)
21/30(70%)
Yards / Pass
8.8
6.5
EPA / Pass
+0.15
+0.09
Rushing Yards
78
168
Rush Attempts
27
36
Yards / Rush
2.9
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
25
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
9
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
30%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
33%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.61
-12.82
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-13
-28
Sack EPA
-2.88
-2.46
Penalties
7
9
Penalty Yards
60
85
Penalty EPA
-3.80
-6.99
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Texans Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
29
Yards / Game
19
31
Passing Yards / Game
17
31
Rushing Yards / Game
13
13
EPA
EPA / Play
21
32
EPA / Pass
14
31
EPA / Rush
20
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
23
Interceptions / Game
11
25
Fumbles / Game
11
30
Turnover EPA / Game
19
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
19
4th Down Efficiency
5
5
RZ Efficiency
8
28
Chiefs Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
15
Yards / Game
1
22
Passing Yards / Game
8
25
Rushing Yards / Game
4
12
EPA
EPA / Play
2
15
EPA / Pass
4
18
EPA / Rush
1
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
6
Interceptions / Game
17
5
Fumbles / Game
11
25
Turnover EPA / Game
24
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
28
4th Down Efficiency
29
1
RZ Efficiency
1
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Texans
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
4-6
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U