HOUTexans
3-6
27
TBD
Lucas Oil Stadium
70°F
033
INDColts
5-4
TBD
Lucas Oil Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
6
7
7
7
27
Colts
3
6
14
10
33
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
356
474
Total Plays
45
80
Yards / Play
7.9
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.41
+0.27
Passing Yards
179
--
Comp/Att
13/18(72%)
30/46(65%)
Yards / Pass
9.9
--
EPA / Pass
+0.36
+0.43
Rushing Yards
177
154
Rush Attempts
25
34
Yards / Rush
7.1
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.42
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
30
Passing 1st downs
7
21
Rushing 1st downs
9
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
50%
67%
3rd Down Conversions
4
10
3rd Down Attempts
8
15
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-1.13
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-13
--
Sack EPA
-1.95
--
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
23
45
Penalty EPA
-2.05
-2.89
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Texans Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
7
Yards / Game
3
11
Passing Yards / Game
2
3
Rushing Yards / Game
12
25
EPA
EPA / Play
13
21
EPA / Pass
12
9
EPA / Rush
8
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
29
Interceptions / Game
29
13
Fumbles / Game
12
8
Turnover EPA / Game
4
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
31
4th Down Efficiency
7
16
RZ Efficiency
27
2
Colts Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
27
Yards / Game
15
22
Passing Yards / Game
20
16
Rushing Yards / Game
31
23
EPA
EPA / Play
4
25
EPA / Pass
2
19
EPA / Rush
23
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
16
Interceptions / Game
6
23
Fumbles / Game
1
12
Turnover EPA / Game
31
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
16
4th Down Efficiency
4
32
RZ Efficiency
1
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Texans
4-6
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
5-5
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U