HOUTexans
4-10
10
TBD
FedExField
54°F
12 mph
26
WASCommanders
5-9
TBD
FedExField
54°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
3
0
0
1
4
Commanders
7
7
0
10
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
166
437
Total Plays
58
77
Yards / Play
2.9
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.36
-0.10
Passing Yards
99
--
Comp/Att
12/31(39%)
14/31(45%)
Yards / Pass
3.2
--
EPA / Pass
-0.48
+0.02
Rushing Yards
67
247
Rush Attempts
24
46
Yards / Rush
2.8
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.42
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
27
Passing 1st downs
6
10
Rushing 1st downs
3
15
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
27%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
15
17
Red Zone %
NaN%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
--
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-8.52
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-13
--
Sack EPA
-3.96
--
Penalties
10
6
Penalty Yards
83
60
Penalty EPA
-5.59
-7.15
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Texans Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
19
Yards / Game
32
4
Passing Yards / Game
30
16
Rushing Yards / Game
31
12
EPA
EPA / Play
31
6
EPA / Pass
32
6
EPA / Rush
31
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
12
Interceptions / Game
12
22
Fumbles / Game
15
9
Turnover EPA / Game
20
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
6
4th Down Efficiency
24
3
RZ Efficiency
27
2
Commanders Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
18
Yards / Game
21
15
Passing Yards / Game
18
1
Rushing Yards / Game
12
28
EPA
EPA / Play
26
3
EPA / Pass
23
7
EPA / Rush
17
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
1
Interceptions / Game
23
26
Fumbles / Game
25
17
Turnover EPA / Game
3
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
7
4th Down Efficiency
17
15
RZ Efficiency
6
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Texans
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U