HOUTexans
6-8
21
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
40°F
16 mph
0
JAXJaguars
8-6
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
40°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
7
7
0
1
15
Jaguars
0
0
0
0
0
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
333
126
Total Plays
67
44
Yards / Play
5.0
2.9
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.59
Passing Yards
122
31
Comp/Att
14/20(70%)
10/21(48%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
1.5
EPA / Pass
+0.10
-1.28
Rushing Yards
211
95
Rush Attempts
43
20
Yards / Rush
4.9
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.01
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
6
Passing 1st downs
8
2
Rushing 1st downs
11
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
47%
10%
3rd Down Conversions
7
1
3rd Down Attempts
15
10
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-2.92
-13.73
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-17
-23
Sack EPA
-5.68
-4.47
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
50
45
Penalty EPA
-2.24
-3.81
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Texans Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
7
Yards / Game
19
11
Passing Yards / Game
17
9
Rushing Yards / Game
13
11
EPA
EPA / Play
21
14
EPA / Pass
14
20
EPA / Rush
20
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
23
Interceptions / Game
11
17
Fumbles / Game
11
10
Turnover EPA / Game
19
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
24
4th Down Efficiency
5
17
RZ Efficiency
8
1
Jaguars Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
15
Yards / Game
21
22
Passing Yards / Game
18
25
Rushing Yards / Game
15
12
EPA
EPA / Play
22
15
EPA / Pass
18
18
EPA / Rush
19
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
6
Interceptions / Game
4
5
Fumbles / Game
11
25
Turnover EPA / Game
21
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
28
4th Down Efficiency
12
1
RZ Efficiency
31
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Texans
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U