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  1. nfelo...
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  3. texans @ jets week 13, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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HOU logo
HOUTexans
5-6
7
TBD
Giants Stadium
56°F
11 mph
29
NYJJets
8-3
NYJ logo
TBD
Giants Stadium
56°F
11 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
0
7
0
0
7
Jets
3
3
7
16
29

Game Statistics

General
Texans logo
Jets logo
Total Yards
230
360
Total Plays
52
65
Yards / Play
4.4
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.21
+0.16
Passing Yards
147
150
Comp/Att
12/25(48%)
20/28(71%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
5.4
EPA / Pass
-0.41
+0.08
Rushing Yards
83
210
Rush Attempts
25
36
Yards / Rush
3.3
5.8
EPA / Rush
-0.03
+0.21
Downs & Conversions
Texans logo
Jets logo
1st Downs
13
26
Passing 1st downs
7
14
Rushing 1st downs
5
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
36%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
10
Red Zone %
50%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Texans logo
Jets logo
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-7.51
-3.96
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-10
-5
Sack EPA
-2.48
-0.89
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
48
49
Penalty EPA
-5.31
-4.88

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
HOU logo
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Texans Offense vs Jets Defense
Texans logo
Jets logo

Total

Points / Game
21
3
Yards / Game
19
8
Passing Yards / Game
17
24
Rushing Yards / Game
13
7

EPA

EPA / Play
21
11
EPA / Pass
14
17
EPA / Rush
20
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
1
23
Interceptions / Game
11
9
Fumbles / Game
11
18
Turnover EPA / Game
19
22

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
13
21
4th Down Efficiency
5
11
RZ Efficiency
8
11
Jets Offense vs Texans Defense
Jets logo
Texans logo

Total

Points / Game
17
15
Yards / Game
12
22
Passing Yards / Game
29
25
Rushing Yards / Game
3
12

EPA

EPA / Play
10
15
EPA / Pass
13
18
EPA / Rush
3
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
6
Interceptions / Game
2
5
Fumbles / Game
2
25
Turnover EPA / Game
32
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
28
4th Down Efficiency
14
1
RZ Efficiency
13
22

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

HOU logo

Texans

5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/19
-12
L
L
P
09/26
3
W
W
P
10/03
13
W
W
P
10/10
-6
L
L
P
10/17
10
W
W
P
10/31
14
W
W
P
11/07
-18
L
L
P
11/14
-35
L
L
P
11/21
-3
L
P
P
11/28
10
W
W
P
NYJ logo

Jets

7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/19
6
W
W
P
10/03
8
W
W
P
10/10
2
W
L
P
10/17
8
W
L
P
10/24
-6
L
P
P
11/01
27
W
W
P
11/07
-5
L
L
P
11/14
-3
L
L
P
11/21
3
W
W
P
11/28
10
W
W
P