HOUTexans
0-1
16
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
028
DETLions
1-0
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
0
3
7
6
16
Lions
0
7
14
7
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
386
266
Total Plays
72
50
Yards / Play
5.4
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.00
+0.19
Passing Yards
274
172
Comp/Att
23/35(66%)
18/25(72%)
Yards / Pass
7.8
6.9
EPA / Pass
+0.14
+0.23
Rushing Yards
112
94
Rush Attempts
32
23
Yards / Rush
3.5
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.19
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
18
Passing 1st downs
12
11
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
50%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-12.09
-5.25
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-39
-4
Sack EPA
-6.61
-2.56
Penalties
9
8
Penalty Yards
74
65
Penalty EPA
-7.89
-7.33
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Texans Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
18
Yards / Game
19
20
Passing Yards / Game
17
11
Rushing Yards / Game
13
16
EPA
EPA / Play
21
16
EPA / Pass
14
21
EPA / Rush
20
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
17
Interceptions / Game
11
22
Fumbles / Game
11
21
Turnover EPA / Game
19
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
27
4th Down Efficiency
5
9
RZ Efficiency
8
18
Lions Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
15
Yards / Game
24
22
Passing Yards / Game
19
25
Rushing Yards / Game
18
12
EPA
EPA / Play
24
15
EPA / Pass
25
18
EPA / Rush
6
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
6
Interceptions / Game
9
5
Fumbles / Game
1
25
Turnover EPA / Game
29
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
28
4th Down Efficiency
25
1
RZ Efficiency
30
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Texans
3-7
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U