HOUTexans
4-9
7
TBD
Gillette Stadium
52°F
10 mph
40
NEPatriots
9-4
TBD
Gillette Stadium
52°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
0
0
7
0
7
Patriots
17
10
7
6
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
198
230
Total Plays
54
66
Yards / Play
3.7
3.5
EPA / Play
-0.55
+0.06
Passing Yards
93
125
Comp/Att
16/28(57%)
19/27(70%)
Yards / Pass
3.3
4.6
EPA / Pass
-0.90
+0.06
Rushing Yards
105
105
Rush Attempts
22
38
Yards / Rush
4.8
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
15
Passing 1st downs
7
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
27%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
17
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
4
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-20.35
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-34
-4
Sack EPA
-7.21
-1.00
Penalties
4
2
Penalty Yards
66
--
Penalty EPA
-6.22
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Texans Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
2
Yards / Game
28
10
Passing Yards / Game
23
30
Rushing Yards / Game
21
5
EPA
EPA / Play
23
6
EPA / Pass
22
5
EPA / Rush
12
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
24
Interceptions / Game
7
4
Fumbles / Game
17
12
Turnover EPA / Game
14
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
10
4th Down Efficiency
5
2
RZ Efficiency
8
3
Patriots Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
25
Yards / Game
11
24
Passing Yards / Game
16
23
Rushing Yards / Game
14
19
EPA
EPA / Play
4
28
EPA / Pass
6
26
EPA / Rush
11
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
10
Interceptions / Game
10
28
Fumbles / Game
25
19
Turnover EPA / Game
27
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
30
4th Down Efficiency
1
11
RZ Efficiency
3
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Texans
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U