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  1. nfelo...
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  3. texans @ saints week 2, 2003

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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HOU logo
HOUTexans
1-0
10
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0
31
NOSaints
0-1
NO logo
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
0
10
0
0
10
Saints
7
0
10
8
25

Game Statistics

General
Texans logo
Saints logo
Total Yards
258
292
Total Plays
65
56
Yards / Play
4.0
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.28
-0.05
Passing Yards
183
182
Comp/Att
17/36(47%)
18/27(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
6.7
EPA / Pass
-0.49
+0.17
Rushing Yards
75
110
Rush Attempts
24
27
Yards / Rush
3.1
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
Texans logo
Saints logo
1st Downs
16
12
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
25%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
16
17
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Texans logo
Saints logo
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-12.25
--
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-30
-7
Sack EPA
-6.17
-1.93
Penalties
11
9
Penalty Yards
86
78
Penalty EPA
-3.33
-7.85

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
HOU logo
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Texans Offense vs Saints Defense
Texans logo
Saints logo

Total

Points / Game
28
14
Yards / Game
31
18
Passing Yards / Game
24
16
Rushing Yards / Game
23
27

EPA

EPA / Play
26
15
EPA / Pass
23
14
EPA / Rush
16
22

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
1
15
Interceptions / Game
17
20
Fumbles / Game
9
18
Turnover EPA / Game
20
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
30
15
4th Down Efficiency
3
23
RZ Efficiency
3
15
Saints Offense vs Texans Defense
Saints logo
Texans logo

Total

Points / Game
15
27
Yards / Game
11
31
Passing Yards / Game
7
8
Rushing Yards / Game
10
31

EPA

EPA / Play
14
25
EPA / Pass
12
31
EPA / Rush
22
19

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
17
Interceptions / Game
1
20
Fumbles / Game
32
27
Turnover EPA / Game
13
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
2
23
4th Down Efficiency
31
30
RZ Efficiency
11
8

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

HOU logo

Texans

3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/03
-35
L
L
P
11/10
-7
L
W
P
11/17
-3
L
W
P
11/24
2
W
W
P
12/01
-16
L
L
P
12/08
18
W
W
P
12/15
-4
L
L
P
12/22
-16
L
L
P
12/29
-10
L
L
P
09/07
1
W
W
P
NO logo

Saints

3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/27
-2
L
L
P
11/10
10
W
W
P
11/17
-7
L
L
P
11/24
-9
L
L
P
12/01
3
W
W
P
12/08
12
W
W
P
12/15
-1
L
L
P
12/22
-7
L
L
P
12/29
-4
L
L
P
09/07
-17
L
L
P