HOUTexans
1-0
10
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
031
NOSaints
0-1
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
0
10
0
0
10
Saints
7
0
10
8
25
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
258
292
Total Plays
65
56
Yards / Play
4.0
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.28
-0.05
Passing Yards
183
182
Comp/Att
17/36(47%)
18/27(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
6.7
EPA / Pass
-0.49
+0.17
Rushing Yards
75
110
Rush Attempts
24
27
Yards / Rush
3.1
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
12
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
25%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
16
17
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-12.25
--
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-30
-7
Sack EPA
-6.17
-1.93
Penalties
11
9
Penalty Yards
86
78
Penalty EPA
-3.33
-7.85
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Texans Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
14
Yards / Game
31
18
Passing Yards / Game
24
16
Rushing Yards / Game
23
27
EPA
EPA / Play
26
15
EPA / Pass
23
14
EPA / Rush
16
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
15
Interceptions / Game
17
20
Fumbles / Game
9
18
Turnover EPA / Game
20
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
15
4th Down Efficiency
3
23
RZ Efficiency
3
15
Saints Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
27
Yards / Game
11
31
Passing Yards / Game
7
8
Rushing Yards / Game
10
31
EPA
EPA / Play
14
25
EPA / Pass
12
31
EPA / Rush
22
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
17
Interceptions / Game
1
20
Fumbles / Game
32
27
Turnover EPA / Game
13
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
23
4th Down Efficiency
31
30
RZ Efficiency
11
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Texans
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U