nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. texans @ seahawks week 8, 2017

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

HOU logo
HOUTexans
3-3
38
TBD
Lumen Field
50°F
2 mph
41
SEASeahawks
4-2
SEA logo
TBD
Lumen Field
50°F
2 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
14
7
3
14
38
Seahawks
8
7
6
14
35

Spread

HOU logo
+6.5

Total

OVER
45

Game Statistics

General
Texans logo
Seahawks logo
Total Yards
509
479
Total Plays
69
64
Yards / Play
7.4
7.5
EPA / Play
+0.18
+0.17
Passing Yards
367
446
Comp/Att
19/30(63%)
26/41(63%)
Yards / Pass
12.2
10.9
EPA / Pass
+0.31
+0.35
Rushing Yards
142
33
Rush Attempts
34
21
Yards / Rush
4.2
1.6
EPA / Rush
+0.08
-0.32
Downs & Conversions
Texans logo
Seahawks logo
1st Downs
25
21
Passing 1st downs
15
15
Rushing 1st downs
8
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
20%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
67%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Texans logo
Seahawks logo
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-15.39
-4.36
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-35
-6
Sack EPA
-6.74
-0.98
Penalties
8
10
Penalty Yards
93
120
Penalty EPA
-14.55
-15.77

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5

Win Probability

Market71.0%
Model71.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+127
Home nfelo
1,610
Away nfelo
1,440
Home Field
+12.7
Base HFA
+57.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-44.6
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-56.0
Home QB Adjustment
+13.1
Away QB Adjustment
+69.1
Market Regression
+24.6
Final Difference
155.5
Model Spread
-6.5

Quarterbacks

D. Watson headshot

D. Watson

Proj. Value
-2.5
Team Elo Adj
+69.1
Value
Ptile
09/14
1.6
64
09/24
1.7
66
10/01
9.6
97
10/08
6.5
89
10/15
1.2
61
R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+13.1
Value
Ptile
12/24
4.7
82
01/01
0.9
56
01/07
-0.2
47
01/14
-1.9
35
09/10
-4.1
24
09/17
-1.7
40
09/24
9.5
97
10/01
4.9
84
10/08
-3.1
30
10/22
8.4
94

Team Matchup Ranks

Texans Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Texans logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
17
9
Yards / Game
20
11
Passing Yards / Game
12
9
Rushing Yards / Game
13
20

EPA

EPA / Play
21
8
EPA / Pass
25
6
EPA / Rush
12
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
10
Interceptions / Game
27
14
Fumbles / Game
28
9
Turnover EPA / Game
4
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
16
4th Down Efficiency
13
15
RZ Efficiency
20
6
Seahawks Offense vs Texans Defense
Seahawks logo
Texans logo

Total

Points / Game
12
32
Yards / Game
15
20
Passing Yards / Game
9
22
Rushing Yards / Game
23
12

EPA

EPA / Play
19
30
EPA / Pass
13
25
EPA / Rush
24
16

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
2
Interceptions / Game
13
18
Fumbles / Game
7
31
Turnover EPA / Game
25
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
5
4th Down Efficiency
7
27
RZ Efficiency
12
27

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

HOU logo

Texans

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/24
2
W
L
U
01/01
-7
L
L
U
01/07
13
W
W
O
01/14
-18
L
L
O
09/10
-22
L
L
U
09/14
4
W
W
U
09/24
-3
L
W
O
10/01
43
W
W
O
10/08
-8
L
L
O
10/15
16
W
W
O
SEA logo

Seahawks

6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/24
-3
L
L
O
01/01
2
W
L
O
01/07
20
W
W
U
01/14
-16
L
L
O
09/10
-8
L
L
U
09/17
3
W
L
U
09/24
-6
L
L
O
10/01
28
W
W
O
10/08
6
W
W
U
10/22
17
W
W
U