nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. texans @ titans week 15, 2010

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

HOU logo
HOUTexans
5-8
17
TBD
Nissan Stadium
36°F
4 mph
31
TENTitans
5-8
TEN logo
TBD
Nissan Stadium
36°F
4 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
0
3
7
7
17
Titans
21
3
7
0
31

Spread

TEN logo
-1

Total

OVER
47.5

Game Statistics

General
Texans logo
Titans logo
Total Yards
323
359
Total Plays
75
57
Yards / Play
4.3
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.03
+0.25
Passing Yards
293
212
Comp/Att
35/54(65%)
14/24(58%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
8.8
EPA / Pass
+0.08
+0.47
Rushing Yards
30
147
Rush Attempts
17
30
Yards / Rush
1.8
4.9
EPA / Rush
-0.45
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
Texans logo
Titans logo
1st Downs
26
19
Passing 1st downs
20
12
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
38%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
67%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Texans logo
Titans logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.07
-3.49
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-32
-25
Sack EPA
-8.19
-3.14
Penalties
9
12
Penalty Yards
66
76
Penalty EPA
-5.56
-8.29

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
TEN logo
TENTitansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-1.0
Model
-1.0

Win Probability

Market52.2%
Model52.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+1
Home nfelo
1,487
Away nfelo
1,498
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-22.7
Home QB Adjustment
-21.3
Away QB Adjustment
+1.4
Market Regression
+15.3
Final Difference
15.3
Model Spread
-1.0

Quarterbacks

M. Schaub headshot

M. Schaub

Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+1.4
Value
Ptile
10/03
2.6
66
10/10
-6.7
10
10/17
6.8
90
11/01
-3.9
25
11/07
-0.2
48
11/14
7.2
91
11/21
2.4
65
11/28
2.3
64
12/02
3.6
73
12/13
2.1
63
K. Collins headshot

K. Collins

Proj. Value
-2.5
Team Elo Adj
-21.3
Value
Ptile
09/10
1.9
62
09/20
0.1
50
09/27
-7.8
8
10/04
2.3
65
10/11
-3.2
29
10/18
-10.2
2
10/24
-0.3
47
11/14
-5.2
17
12/05
-8.9
5
12/09
7.8
93

Team Matchup Ranks

Texans Offense vs Titans Defense
Texans logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
11
15
Yards / Game
3
26
Passing Yards / Game
13
32
Rushing Yards / Game
7
20

EPA

EPA / Play
2
21
EPA / Pass
5
22
EPA / Rush
4
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
26
Interceptions / Game
7
11
Fumbles / Game
3
31
Turnover EPA / Game
29
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
29
4th Down Efficiency
14
7
RZ Efficiency
5
3
Titans Offense vs Texans Defense
Titans logo
Texans logo

Total

Points / Game
16
29
Yards / Game
28
29
Passing Yards / Game
29
30
Rushing Yards / Game
17
14

EPA

EPA / Play
14
32
EPA / Pass
16
32
EPA / Rush
28
27

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
21
Interceptions / Game
13
23
Fumbles / Game
28
32
Turnover EPA / Game
17
3

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
20
4th Down Efficiency
10
32
RZ Efficiency
10
31

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

HOU logo

Texans

3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/03
7
W
W
O
10/10
-24
L
L
U
10/17
4
W
L
O
11/01
-13
L
L
U
11/07
-6
L
L
O
11/14
-7
L
L
O
11/21
-3
L
W
O
11/28
20
W
W
U
12/02
-10
L
L
O
12/13
-6
L
L
O
TEN logo

Titans

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/03
-6
L
L
O
10/10
7
W
W
O
10/18
27
W
W
U
10/24
18
W
W
O
10/31
-8
L
L
O
11/14
-12
L
L
O
11/21
-3
L
L
U
11/28
-20
L
L
U
12/05
-11
L
L
U
12/09
-2
L
W
O