nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. titans @ 49ers week 9, 2009

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

TEN logo
TENTitans
1-6
34
TBD
Candlestick Park
63°F
5 mph
27
SF49ers
3-4
SF logo
TBD
Candlestick Park
63°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
3
7
7
11
28
49ers
3
14
0
10
27

Spread

TEN logo
+4.5

Total

OVER
41

Game Statistics

General
Titans logo
49ers logo
Total Yards
315
358
Total Plays
55
69
Yards / Play
5.7
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.18
-0.02
Passing Yards
163
250
Comp/Att
12/20(60%)
29/45(64%)
Yards / Pass
8.2
5.6
EPA / Pass
+0.22
-0.29
Rushing Yards
152
108
Rush Attempts
34
20
Yards / Rush
4.5
5.4
EPA / Rush
+0.06
+0.27
Downs & Conversions
Titans logo
49ers logo
1st Downs
14
25
Passing 1st downs
7
12
Rushing 1st downs
7
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
4
3rd Down %
33%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
60%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
5
Negative Plays
Titans logo
49ers logo
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-21.90
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-9
-36
Sack EPA
-1.75
-9.55
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
58
--
Penalty EPA
-9.18
--

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SF logo
SF49ersFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-4.5
Model
-4.0

Win Probability

Market66.1%
Model64.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+37
Home nfelo
1,530
Away nfelo
1,501
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-54.9
Home QB Adjustment
-56.8
Away QB Adjustment
-1.9
Market Regression
+13.6
Final Difference
99.9
Model Spread
-4.0

Quarterbacks

V. Young headshot

V. Young

Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
-1.9
Value
Ptile
11/19
7.3
90
11/25
-1.3
40
12/02
3.3
74
12/09
-4.8
19
12/16
4.6
80
12/23
-5.9
13
12/30
1.9
64
01/06
-4.3
23
09/07
-5.4
13
11/01
1.3
58
A. Smith headshot

A. Smith

Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-56.8
Value
Ptile
12/24
-5.4
16
12/31
-4.1
23
09/10
-3.7
28
09/16
-5.3
16
09/23
-0.4
46
09/30
-5.8
14
10/28
-1.6
38
11/04
-11.2
2
11/12
-6.3
10
11/01
-2.6
34

Team Matchup Ranks

Titans Offense vs 49ers Defense
Titans logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
15
4
Yards / Game
13
15
Passing Yards / Game
31
9
Rushing Yards / Game
2
6

EPA

EPA / Play
13
2
EPA / Pass
17
5
EPA / Rush
2
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
13
12
Interceptions / Game
14
10
Fumbles / Game
29
1
Turnover EPA / Game
22
23

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
10
4th Down Efficiency
12
4
RZ Efficiency
9
2
49ers Offense vs Titans Defense
49ers logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
18
28
Yards / Game
27
27
Passing Yards / Game
18
25
Rushing Yards / Game
24
11

EPA

EPA / Play
23
27
EPA / Pass
21
26
EPA / Rush
20
22

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
32
Interceptions / Game
10
7
Fumbles / Game
6
28
Turnover EPA / Game
31
16

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
26
4th Down Efficiency
10
31
RZ Efficiency
6
27

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TEN logo

Titans

2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
4-3-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/21
17
W
W
P
12/28
-23
L
L
P
01/10
-3
L
L
P
09/10
-3
L
W
U
09/20
-3
L
L
O
09/27
-7
L
L
O
10/04
-20
L
L
O
10/11
-22
L
L
U
10/18
-59
L
L
O
11/01
17
W
W
U
SF logo

49ers

5-5
SU
7-2-1
ATS
3-4-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/14
-5
L
W
P
12/21
1
W
L
P
12/28
3
W
W
P
09/13
4
W
W
U
09/20
13
W
W
U
09/27
-3
L
W
O
10/04
35
W
W
U
10/11
-35
L
L
O
10/25
-3
L
P
O
11/01
-4
L
W
U