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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. titans @ eagles week 13, 2022

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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TEN logo
TENTitans
7-4
10
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
60°F
7 mph
35
PHIEagles
10-1
PHI logo
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
60°F
7 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
7
3
0
0
10
Eagles
7
14
7
7
35

Spread

PHI logo
-5

Total

OVER
44.5

Game Statistics

General
Titans logo
Eagles logo
Total Yards
209
453
Total Plays
53
67
Yards / Play
3.9
6.8
EPA / Play
-0.26
+0.22
Passing Yards
122
386
Comp/Att
16/26(62%)
30/41(73%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
9.4
EPA / Pass
-0.45
+0.47
Rushing Yards
87
67
Rush Attempts
21
24
Yards / Rush
4.1
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.02
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
Titans logo
Eagles logo
1st Downs
11
26
Passing 1st downs
5
16
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
29%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Titans logo
Eagles logo
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
6
2
Sack Yards
-35
-5
Sack EPA
-10.53
-0.70
Penalties
7
12
Penalty Yards
82
80
Penalty EPA
-9.53
-13.96

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
PHI logo
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-5.0
Model
-5.0

Win Probability

Market67.1%
Model67.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+145
Home nfelo
1,604
Away nfelo
1,516
Home Field
+47.3
Base HFA
+40.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+7.2
Net QB Adjustment
+10.4
Home QB Adjustment
+27.8
Away QB Adjustment
+17.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
123.8
Model Spread
-5.0

Quarterbacks

R. Tannehill headshot

R. Tannehill

Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+17.5
Value
Ptile
01/22
-6.0
15
09/11
3.0
76
09/19
-8.0
6
09/25
1.0
59
10/02
-1.3
44
10/09
-6.5
11
10/23
-4.8
19
11/13
3.3
77
11/17
3.6
79
11/27
2.4
72
J. Hurts headshot

J. Hurts

Proj. Value
+1.6
Team Elo Adj
+27.8
Value
Ptile
09/19
9.9
96
09/25
3.9
81
10/02
-2.0
37
10/09
6.1
89
10/16
-0.7
47
10/30
5.6
88
11/03
2.1
69
11/14
2.1
69
11/20
5.0
85
11/27
9.0
95

Team Matchup Ranks

Titans Offense vs Eagles Defense
Titans logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
28
7
Yards / Game
30
1
Passing Yards / Game
24
3
Rushing Yards / Game
13
16

EPA

EPA / Play
25
5
EPA / Pass
23
1
EPA / Rush
26
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
15
Interceptions / Game
9
9
Fumbles / Game
11
6
Turnover EPA / Game
13
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
12
4th Down Efficiency
14
19
RZ Efficiency
6
17
Eagles Offense vs Titans Defense
Eagles logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
2
12
Yards / Game
3
23
Passing Yards / Game
6
32
Rushing Yards / Game
4
1

EPA

EPA / Play
2
16
EPA / Pass
6
28
EPA / Rush
1
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
32
6
Interceptions / Game
3
13
Fumbles / Game
17
14
Turnover EPA / Game
14
9

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
3
3
4th Down Efficiency
4
32
RZ Efficiency
3
14

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TEN logo

Titans

7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
3-7
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/19
-34
L
L
O
09/25
2
W
W
O
10/02
7
W
W
U
10/09
4
W
W
U
10/23
9
W
W
U
10/30
7
W
W
U
11/06
-3
L
W
U
11/13
7
W
W
U
11/17
10
W
W
O
11/27
-4
L
L
U
PHI logo

Eagles

9-1
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/19
17
W
W
U
09/25
16
W
W
U
10/02
8
W
W
O
10/09
3
W
L
U
10/16
9
W
W
O
10/30
22
W
W
O
11/03
12
W
L
O
11/14
-11
L
L
O
11/20
1
W
L
U
11/27
7
W
W
O