TENTitans
0-2
17
TBD
Giants Stadium
66°F
8 mph
24
NYJJets
2-0
TBD
Giants Stadium
66°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
0
10
7
0
17
Jets
14
0
7
3
24
Spread
-1
Total
OVER
36.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
286
229
Total Plays
69
64
Yards / Play
4.1
3.6
EPA / Play
-0.27
-0.21
Passing Yards
159
146
Comp/Att
15/37(41%)
17/30(57%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
4.9
EPA / Pass
-0.30
-0.34
Rushing Yards
127
83
Rush Attempts
30
31
Yards / Rush
4.2
2.7
EPA / Rush
-0.00
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
13
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
8
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
29%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
100%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-11.05
-2.11
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-11
-25
Sack EPA
-1.24
-6.89
Penalties
3
3
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-1.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model52.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+10
Home nfelo
1,504
Away nfelo
1,588
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-1.8
Home QB Adjustment
+0.9
Away QB Adjustment
+2.7
Market Regression
-28.9
Final Difference
15.3
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
K. Collins
Proj. Value
-2.5
Team Elo Adj
+2.7
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
+0.9
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Titans Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
1
Yards / Game
13
1
Passing Yards / Game
31
2
Rushing Yards / Game
2
7
EPA
EPA / Play
13
1
EPA / Pass
17
1
EPA / Rush
2
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
26
Interceptions / Game
14
14
Fumbles / Game
29
18
Turnover EPA / Game
22
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
1
4th Down Efficiency
12
3
RZ Efficiency
9
5
Jets Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
28
Yards / Game
20
27
Passing Yards / Game
32
25
Rushing Yards / Game
1
11
EPA
EPA / Play
20
27
EPA / Pass
25
26
EPA / Rush
6
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
32
Interceptions / Game
27
7
Fumbles / Game
17
28
Turnover EPA / Game
21
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
26
4th Down Efficiency
1
31
RZ Efficiency
16
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Titans
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
1-1-8
O/U
Jets
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-2-8
O/U