TENTitans
13-4
14
TBD
Gillette Stadium
4°F
10 mph
17
NEPatriots
14-2
TBD
Gillette Stadium
4°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
7
0
7
0
14
Patriots
7
7
0
3
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
284
297
Total Plays
55
68
Yards / Play
5.2
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.01
+0.03
Passing Yards
200
--
Comp/Att
18/26(69%)
21/41(51%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
--
EPA / Pass
+0.18
+0.04
Rushing Yards
84
96
Rush Attempts
26
27
Yards / Rush
3.2
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
18
Passing 1st downs
11
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
54%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
7
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.14
-4.35
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-10
--
Sack EPA
-3.46
--
Penalties
9
2
Penalty Yards
55
14
Penalty EPA
-7.15
-1.49
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TENTitansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Titans Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
1
Yards / Game
10
7
Passing Yards / Game
10
27
Rushing Yards / Game
21
3
EPA
EPA / Play
6
2
EPA / Pass
2
3
EPA / Rush
26
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
25
Interceptions / Game
3
1
Fumbles / Game
15
22
Turnover EPA / Game
21
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
8
4th Down Efficiency
23
6
RZ Efficiency
12
7
Patriots Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
11
Yards / Game
15
10
Passing Yards / Game
18
32
Rushing Yards / Game
26
1
EPA
EPA / Play
15
10
EPA / Pass
9
9
EPA / Rush
29
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
26
Interceptions / Game
5
8
Fumbles / Game
18
17
Turnover EPA / Game
26
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
1
4th Down Efficiency
8
28
RZ Efficiency
28
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Titans
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
10-0
SU
9-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U