TENTitans
4-1
24
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
021
NOSaints
1-3
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
0
0
7
11
18
Saints
3
7
3
8
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
278
411
Total Plays
61
64
Yards / Play
4.6
6.4
EPA / Play
-0.18
-0.26
Passing Yards
113
--
Comp/Att
12/25(48%)
28/44(64%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
--
EPA / Pass
-0.36
+0.28
Rushing Yards
165
55
Rush Attempts
35
21
Yards / Rush
4.7
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.86
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
22
Passing 1st downs
8
16
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
27%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
40%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
4
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-12.27
-30.92
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-11
--
Sack EPA
-5.03
--
Penalties
8
13
Penalty Yards
75
103
Penalty EPA
+2.01
-20.49
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
TENTitansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Titans Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
28
Yards / Game
16
19
Passing Yards / Game
28
18
Rushing Yards / Game
10
19
EPA
EPA / Play
6
27
EPA / Pass
12
20
EPA / Rush
6
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
16
Interceptions / Game
1
13
Fumbles / Game
20
10
Turnover EPA / Game
29
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
20
4th Down Efficiency
5
31
RZ Efficiency
3
28
Saints Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
10
Yards / Game
19
17
Passing Yards / Game
20
17
Rushing Yards / Game
17
8
EPA
EPA / Play
30
18
EPA / Pass
25
24
EPA / Rush
21
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
29
Interceptions / Game
30
22
Fumbles / Game
6
3
Turnover EPA / Game
1
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
14
4th Down Efficiency
19
2
RZ Efficiency
24
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Titans
4-1
SU
2-3
ATS
0-0-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
Saints
1-3
SU
2-2
ATS
0-0-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U