TENTitans
-
10
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
67°F
9 mph
13
PITSteelers
-
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
67°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Titans
0
7
0
3
0
10
Steelers
0
7
0
3
3
13
Spread
+6.5
Total
UNDER
35.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
320
357
Total Plays
61
70
Yards / Play
5.2
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.07
Passing Yards
234
321
Comp/Att
22/35(63%)
33/43(77%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
7.5
EPA / Pass
+0.09
+0.08
Rushing Yards
86
36
Rush Attempts
25
23
Yards / Rush
3.4
1.6
EPA / Rush
-0.17
-0.53
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
19
Passing 1st downs
14
18
Rushing 1st downs
2
1
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
31%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-8.08
-5.17
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-10
-42
Sack EPA
-2.33
-8.32
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
28
60
Penalty EPA
-2.00
-8.64
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model68.5%
Spread Pick
Titans+6.5
Expected Value
+1.3%
Cover Probability
53.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+101
Home nfelo
1,645
Away nfelo
1,593
Home Field
+51.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-2.2
Home QB Adjustment
-3.9
Away QB Adjustment
-1.7
Market Regression
+10.9
Final Difference
134.7
Model Spread
-5.5
Quarterbacks
K. Collins
Proj. Value
-2.5
Team Elo Adj
-1.7
B. Roethlisberger
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-3.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Titans Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
11
Yards / Game
13
6
Passing Yards / Game
31
31
Rushing Yards / Game
2
5
EPA
EPA / Play
13
22
EPA / Pass
17
13
EPA / Rush
2
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
2
Interceptions / Game
14
25
Fumbles / Game
29
16
Turnover EPA / Game
22
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
28
4th Down Efficiency
12
30
RZ Efficiency
9
6
Steelers Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
28
Yards / Game
7
27
Passing Yards / Game
3
25
Rushing Yards / Game
20
11
EPA
EPA / Play
7
27
EPA / Pass
10
26
EPA / Rush
14
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
32
Interceptions / Game
10
7
Fumbles / Game
19
28
Turnover EPA / Game
13
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
26
4th Down Efficiency
4
31
RZ Efficiency
26
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Titans
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Steelers
9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U