nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. titans @ steelers week 1, 2013

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

TEN logo
TENTitans
-
16
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
73°F
9 mph
9
PITSteelers
-
PIT logo
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
73°F
9 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
0
7
3
6
16
Steelers
0
0
0
7
7

Spread

TEN logo
+6

Total

UNDER
42

Game Statistics

General
Titans logo
Steelers logo
Total Yards
229
194
Total Plays
63
53
Yards / Play
3.6
3.7
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.23
Passing Yards
117
163
Comp/Att
11/20(55%)
21/33(64%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
4.9
EPA / Pass
+0.11
-0.04
Rushing Yards
112
31
Rush Attempts
42
15
Yards / Rush
2.7
2.1
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.69
Downs & Conversions
Titans logo
Steelers logo
1st Downs
17
14
Passing 1st downs
6
13
Rushing 1st downs
10
--
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
40%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
25%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Titans logo
Steelers logo
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-9.25
Sacks
1
5
Sack Yards
-8
-28
Sack EPA
-1.80
-6.23
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
60
--
Penalty EPA
-8.13
--

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
PIT logo
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-6.5

Win Probability

Market69.3%
Model70.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+199
Home nfelo
1,523
Away nfelo
1,411
Home Field
+73.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+12.8
Home QB Adjustment
+3.4
Away QB Adjustment
-9.4
Market Regression
-17.8
Final Difference
153.2
Model Spread
-6.5

Quarterbacks

J. Locker headshot

J. Locker

Proj. Value
-1.9
Team Elo Adj
-9.4
Value
Ptile
09/16
-1.7
38
09/23
11.1
98
09/30
-5.7
14
11/11
0.1
51
11/25
-2.8
32
12/02
-6.9
10
12/09
1.4
60
12/17
-0.2
49
12/23
-11.3
2
12/30
-5.1
18
B. Roethlisberger headshot

B. Roethlisberger

Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+3.4
Value
Ptile
10/07
3.0
70
10/11
2.7
67
10/21
0.6
54
10/28
6.4
88
11/04
-2.0
35
11/12
-2.8
31
12/09
2.4
64
12/16
0.1
51
12/23
-6.6
11
12/30
0.3
51

Team Matchup Ranks

Titans Offense vs Steelers Defense
Titans logo
Steelers logo

Total

Points / Game
18
13
Yards / Game
21
13
Passing Yards / Game
15
14
Rushing Yards / Game
14
21

EPA

EPA / Play
16
13
EPA / Pass
13
10
EPA / Rush
12
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
14
Interceptions / Game
18
29
Fumbles / Game
5
16
Turnover EPA / Game
20
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
20
4th Down Efficiency
7
17
RZ Efficiency
9
19
Steelers Offense vs Titans Defense
Steelers logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
16
16
Yards / Game
20
14
Passing Yards / Game
14
8
Rushing Yards / Game
27
19

EPA

EPA / Play
18
22
EPA / Pass
9
15
EPA / Rush
29
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
7
23
Interceptions / Game
13
22
Fumbles / Game
17
1
Turnover EPA / Game
16
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
17
6
4th Down Efficiency
9
27
RZ Efficiency
20
27

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TEN logo

Titans

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/21
1
W
W
O
10/28
-6
L
L
U
11/04
-31
L
L
O
11/11
34
W
W
U
11/25
-5
L
L
U
12/02
-14
L
L
U
12/09
-4
L
L
O
12/17
4
W
W
U
12/23
-48
L
L
O
12/30
18
W
W
O
PIT logo

Steelers

5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/28
15
W
W
U
11/04
4
W
W
U
11/12
3
W
L
U
11/18
-3
L
P
U
11/25
-6
L
L
O
12/02
3
W
W
O
12/09
-10
L
L
O
12/16
-3
L
L
O
12/23
-3
L
L
U
12/30
14
W
W
U