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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. vikings @ 49ers week 14, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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MIN logo
MINVikings
6-6
27
TBD
Candlestick Park
53°F
6 mph
7
SF49ers
3-9
SF logo
TBD
Candlestick Park
53°F
6 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
4
17
0
0
21
49ers
0
0
7
0
7

Game Statistics

General
Vikings logo
49ers logo
Total Yards
280
285
Total Plays
56
69
Yards / Play
5.0
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.37
Passing Yards
--
212
Comp/Att
16/25(64%)
29/47(62%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.5
EPA / Pass
+0.16
-0.34
Rushing Yards
117
73
Rush Attempts
31
20
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.57
Downs & Conversions
Vikings logo
49ers logo
1st Downs
11
17
Passing 1st downs
8
14
Rushing 1st downs
3
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
36%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Vikings logo
49ers logo
Turnovers
1
5
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
3
Turnover EPA
-3.68
-25.32
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-14
Sack EPA
--
-4.11
Penalties
3
7
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
MIN logo
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Vikings Offense vs 49ers Defense
Vikings logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
15
20
Yards / Game
13
25
Passing Yards / Game
26
15
Rushing Yards / Game
1
22

EPA

EPA / Play
17
15
EPA / Pass
21
22
EPA / Rush
5
8

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
19
1
Interceptions / Game
6
30
Fumbles / Game
26
14
Turnover EPA / Game
9
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
17
4th Down Efficiency
13
19
RZ Efficiency
4
6
49ers Offense vs Vikings Defense
49ers logo
Vikings logo

Total

Points / Game
32
10
Yards / Game
32
20
Passing Yards / Game
27
32
Rushing Yards / Game
27
1

EPA

EPA / Play
32
3
EPA / Pass
32
16
EPA / Rush
31
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
13
Interceptions / Game
20
13
Fumbles / Game
26
9
Turnover EPA / Game
6
26

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
16
4th Down Efficiency
31
8
RZ Efficiency
16
5

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIN logo

Vikings

5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/23
-3
L
P
P
09/30
-7
L
L
P
10/14
3
W
W
P
10/21
-10
L
L
P
10/28
-7
L
L
P
11/04
18
W
W
P
11/11
-34
L
L
P
11/18
7
W
W
P
11/25
24
W
W
P
12/02
32
W
W
P
SF logo

49ers

1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/23
-21
L
L
P
09/30
-20
L
L
P
10/07
-2
L
W
P
10/21
-18
L
L
P
10/28
-21
L
L
P
11/04
-4
L
L
P
11/12
-24
L
L
P
11/18
-4
L
L
P
11/25
6
W
W
P
12/02
-17
L
L
P