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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. vikings @ bears week 1, 2002

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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MIN logo
MINVikings
-
23
TBD
Memorial Stadium (Champaign)
85°F
3 mph
27
CHIBears
-
CHI logo
TBD
Memorial Stadium (Champaign)
85°F
3 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
3
17
0
3
23
Bears
7
3
3
14
27

Game Statistics

General
Vikings logo
Bears logo
Total Yards
368
368
Total Plays
62
60
Yards / Play
5.9
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.13
+0.14
Passing Yards
228
288
Comp/Att
16/28(57%)
20/33(61%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
8.7
EPA / Pass
+0.31
+0.37
Rushing Yards
140
80
Rush Attempts
33
26
Yards / Rush
4.2
3.1
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.26
Downs & Conversions
Vikings logo
Bears logo
1st Downs
19
20
Passing 1st downs
9
12
Rushing 1st downs
9
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
38%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
25%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Vikings logo
Bears logo
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.52
-5.03
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-6
-9
Sack EPA
-1.74
-2.64
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
52
33
Penalty EPA
-9.06
-3.21

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
MIN logo
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Vikings Offense vs Bears Defense
Vikings logo
Bears logo

Total

Points / Game
7
25
Yards / Game
1
25
Passing Yards / Game
12
28
Rushing Yards / Game
1
27

EPA

EPA / Play
12
21
EPA / Pass
13
26
EPA / Rush
2
6

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
4
7
Interceptions / Game
30
30
Fumbles / Game
27
3
Turnover EPA / Game
6
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
5
10
4th Down Efficiency
19
25
RZ Efficiency
9
8
Bears Offense vs Vikings Defense
Bears logo
Vikings logo

Total

Points / Game
27
30
Yards / Game
29
26
Passing Yards / Game
17
19
Rushing Yards / Game
32
9

EPA

EPA / Play
27
29
EPA / Pass
27
32
EPA / Rush
27
10

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
15
4
Interceptions / Game
21
19
Fumbles / Game
25
29
Turnover EPA / Game
4
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
16
4th Down Efficiency
18
2
RZ Efficiency
8
21

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIN logo

Vikings

2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/28
-27
L
L
P
11/11
-31
L
L
P
11/19
12
W
W
P
11/25
-7
L
L
P
12/02
-5
L
W
P
12/09
18
W
W
P
12/16
-3
L
L
P
12/23
-30
L
L
P
12/30
-11
L
W
P
01/07
-16
L
L
P
CHI logo

Bears

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/11
-8
L
L
P
11/18
3
W
W
P
11/25
7
W
W
P
12/02
3
W
L
P
12/09
-10
L
L
P
12/16
24
W
W
P
12/23
5
W
W
P
12/30
24
W
W
P
01/06
20
W
W
P
01/19
-14
L
L
P