MINVikings
5-4
27
TBD
Soldier Field
50°F
16 mph
24
CHIBears
4-5
TBD
Soldier Field
50°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Vikings
7
7
3
7
3
27
Bears
14
3
0
7
0
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
459
456
Total Plays
74
73
Yards / Play
6.2
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.04
Passing Yards
348
407
Comp/Att
25/43(58%)
34/48(71%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
8.5
EPA / Pass
+0.01
+0.20
Rushing Yards
110
49
Rush Attempts
28
22
Yards / Rush
3.9
2.2
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.34
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
21
Passing 1st downs
15
16
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
40%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
16
Red Zone %
40%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-12.74
-6.05
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-25
-15
Sack EPA
-9.46
-8.31
Penalties
6
11
Penalty Yards
62
102
Penalty EPA
+1.52
-11.74
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
18
Yards / Game
2
30
Passing Yards / Game
5
23
Rushing Yards / Game
14
24
EPA
EPA / Play
7
16
EPA / Pass
5
23
EPA / Rush
11
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
18
Interceptions / Game
23
23
Fumbles / Game
28
7
Turnover EPA / Game
4
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
28
4th Down Efficiency
5
1
RZ Efficiency
9
10
Bears Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
20
Yards / Game
8
28
Passing Yards / Game
2
31
Rushing Yards / Game
25
12
EPA
EPA / Play
27
21
EPA / Pass
17
28
EPA / Rush
26
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
12
Interceptions / Game
27
26
Fumbles / Game
29
2
Turnover EPA / Game
6
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
23
4th Down Efficiency
18
25
RZ Efficiency
28
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
5-4
SU
3-5-1
ATS
0-0-9
O/U
Bears
4-5
SU
6-2-1
ATS
0-0-9
O/U