MINVikings
-
34
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
70°F
6 mph
20
CLEBrowns
-
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
70°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
3
7
14
10
34
Browns
3
4
0
7
14
Spread
-4.5
Total
OVER
39.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
310
268
Total Plays
63
60
Yards / Play
4.9
4.5
EPA / Play
+0.09
-0.21
Passing Yards
85
179
Comp/Att
14/22(64%)
21/35(60%)
Yards / Pass
3.9
5.1
EPA / Pass
-0.10
-0.29
Rushing Yards
225
89
Rush Attempts
37
20
Yards / Rush
6.1
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.34
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
17
Passing 1st downs
4
10
Rushing 1st downs
14
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
43%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
60%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-8.19
Sacks
4
5
Sack Yards
-25
-26
Sack EPA
-5.00
-10.05
Penalties
3
8
Penalty Yards
38
66
Penalty EPA
-3.98
-5.80
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market66.6%
Model59.1%
Spread Pick
Browns+4.5
Expected Value
+14.3%
Cover Probability
59.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-14
Home nfelo
1,423
Away nfelo
1,538
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+5.4
Home QB Adjustment
+8.1
Away QB Adjustment
+2.7
Market Regression
-7.0
Final Difference
-64.2
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
B. Favre
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+2.7
B. Quinn
Proj. Value
-4.9
Team Elo Adj
+8.1
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
21
Yards / Game
6
31
Passing Yards / Game
15
28
Rushing Yards / Game
11
28
EPA
EPA / Play
5
24
EPA / Pass
3
29
EPA / Rush
32
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
23
Interceptions / Game
1
29
Fumbles / Game
24
28
Turnover EPA / Game
25
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
17
4th Down Efficiency
8
15
RZ Efficiency
3
4
Browns Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
8
Yards / Game
32
4
Passing Yards / Game
30
24
Rushing Yards / Game
8
1
EPA
EPA / Play
27
3
EPA / Pass
32
12
EPA / Rush
15
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
19
Interceptions / Game
22
27
Fumbles / Game
25
5
Turnover EPA / Game
6
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
2
4th Down Efficiency
4
4
RZ Efficiency
28
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Browns
2-8
SU
2-7-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U