MIN logo
MIN
-
34
20
CLE
-
CLE logo
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
70°F
6 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
3
7
14
10
34
Browns
3
4
0
7
14

Spread

MIN logo
-4.5

Total

OVER
39.5

Game Statistics

General
Vikings logo
Browns logo
Total Yards
310
268
Total Plays
63
60
Yards / Play
4.9
4.5
EPA / Play
+0.09
-0.21
Passing Yards
85
179
Comp/Att
14/22(64%)
21/35(60%)
Yards / Pass
3.9
5.1
EPA / Pass
-0.10
-0.29
Rushing Yards
225
89
Rush Attempts
37
20
Yards / Rush
6.1
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.34
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
Vikings logo
Browns logo
1st Downs
19
17
Passing 1st downs
4
10
Rushing 1st downs
14
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
43%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
60%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Vikings logo
Browns logo
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-8.19
Sacks
4
5
Sack Yards
-25
-26
Sack EPA
-5.00
-10.05
Penalties
3
8
Penalty Yards
38
66
Penalty EPA
-3.98
-5.80

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
MIN logo
MINFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market66.6%
Model59.1%
Spread Pick
CLE logo
Browns+4.5
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+14.3%
Cover Probability
59.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-14
Home nfelo
1,423
Away nfelo
1,538
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+5.4
Home QB Adjustment
+8.1
Away QB Adjustment
+2.7
Market Regression
-7.0
Final Difference
-64.2
Model Spread
+3.0

Quarterbacks

B. Quinn

Proj. Value
-4.9
Team Elo Adj
+8.1

Team Matchup Ranks

Vikings Offense vs Browns Defense
Vikings logo
Browns logo

Total

Points / Game
3
21
Yards / Game
6
31
Passing Yards / Game
15
28
Rushing Yards / Game
11
28

EPA

EPA / Play
5
24
EPA / Pass
3
29
EPA / Rush
32
29

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
32
23
Interceptions / Game
1
29
Fumbles / Game
24
28
Turnover EPA / Game
25
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
5
17
4th Down Efficiency
8
15
RZ Efficiency
3
4
Browns Offense vs Vikings Defense
Browns logo
Vikings logo

Total

Points / Game
29
8
Yards / Game
32
4
Passing Yards / Game
30
24
Rushing Yards / Game
8
1

EPA

EPA / Play
27
3
EPA / Pass
32
12
EPA / Rush
15
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
24
19
Interceptions / Game
22
27
Fumbles / Game
25
5
Turnover EPA / Game
6
18

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
2
4th Down Efficiency
4
4
RZ Efficiency
28
11