MINVikings
7-5
28
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
41°F
031
KCChiefs
7-5
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
41°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
0
14
7
1
22
Chiefs
14
7
0
4
25
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
326
380
Total Plays
58
71
Yards / Play
5.6
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.02
Passing Yards
151
207
Comp/Att
13/21(62%)
19/29(66%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
7.1
EPA / Pass
-0.20
+0.41
Rushing Yards
175
173
Rush Attempts
35
40
Yards / Rush
5.0
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.31
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
22
Passing 1st downs
9
12
Rushing 1st downs
9
9
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
45%
61%
3rd Down Conversions
5
11
3rd Down Attempts
11
18
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
3
3
Turnover EPA
-17.72
-1.86
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-39
-8
Sack EPA
-12.06
-1.88
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
91
40
Penalty EPA
-4.85
-1.88
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
14
Yards / Game
2
14
Passing Yards / Game
5
13
Rushing Yards / Game
14
9
EPA
EPA / Play
7
6
EPA / Pass
5
5
EPA / Rush
11
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
28
Interceptions / Game
23
5
Fumbles / Game
28
3
Turnover EPA / Game
4
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
1
4th Down Efficiency
5
17
RZ Efficiency
9
17
Chiefs Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
20
Yards / Game
11
28
Passing Yards / Game
11
31
Rushing Yards / Game
4
12
EPA
EPA / Play
16
21
EPA / Pass
7
28
EPA / Rush
14
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
12
Interceptions / Game
5
26
Fumbles / Game
5
2
Turnover EPA / Game
27
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
23
4th Down Efficiency
8
25
RZ Efficiency
4
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
6-4
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U