MINVikings
6-3
28
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
024
DALCowboys
5-3
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
14
3
11
0
28
Cowboys
0
14
7
3
24
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
366
443
Total Plays
70
70
Yards / Play
5.2
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.23
+0.14
Passing Yards
213
393
Comp/Att
23/33(70%)
28/47(60%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
8.4
EPA / Pass
+0.36
+0.43
Rushing Yards
153
50
Rush Attempts
36
22
Yards / Rush
4.3
2.3
EPA / Rush
+0.13
-0.38
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
24
Passing 1st downs
15
22
Rushing 1st downs
9
--
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
57%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
8
9
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
60%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-0.54
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-9
-4
Sack EPA
-2.13
-1.35
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
35
--
Penalty EPA
-4.91
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+47
Home nfelo
1,570
Away nfelo
1,580
Home Field
+50.6
Base HFA
+50.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+6.3
Home QB Adjustment
+18.8
Away QB Adjustment
+12.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.4
Team Elo Adj
+12.5
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+1.6
Team Elo Adj
+18.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
9
Yards / Game
18
9
Passing Yards / Game
32
22
Rushing Yards / Game
8
10
EPA
EPA / Play
10
12
EPA / Pass
9
10
EPA / Rush
13
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
31
Interceptions / Game
7
30
Fumbles / Game
25
12
Turnover EPA / Game
21
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
3
4th Down Efficiency
16
12
RZ Efficiency
10
6
Cowboys Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
6
Yards / Game
1
13
Passing Yards / Game
6
24
Rushing Yards / Game
4
17
EPA
EPA / Play
3
5
EPA / Pass
3
6
EPA / Rush
3
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
23
Interceptions / Game
14
3
Fumbles / Game
4
3
Turnover EPA / Game
24
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
19
4th Down Efficiency
20
22
RZ Efficiency
16
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Cowboys
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U