MINVikings
0-1
28
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
70°F
034
PHIEagles
1-0
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
0
7
7
14
28
Eagles
3
10
14
7
34
Spread
6
P
Total
OVER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
374
430
Total Plays
55
75
Yards / Play
6.8
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.15
Passing Yards
346
171
Comp/Att
31/44(70%)
18/23(78%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
7.4
EPA / Pass
+0.25
+0.05
Rushing Yards
28
259
Rush Attempts
9
48
Yards / Rush
3.1
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.73
+0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
24
Passing 1st downs
19
4
Rushing 1st downs
--
19
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
60%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
14
Red Zone %
100%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-14.01
+1.37
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-18
-22
Sack EPA
-7.21
-4.75
Penalties
2
7
Penalty Yards
15
45
Penalty EPA
-2.03
-5.82
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market69.3%
Model69.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+173
Home nfelo
1,607
Away nfelo
1,469
Home Field
+35.3
Base HFA
+43.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-7.7
Net QB Adjustment
+0.3
Home QB Adjustment
+6.9
Away QB Adjustment
+6.6
Market Regression
-29.6
Final Difference
141.4
Model Spread
-6.0
Quarterbacks
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+6.6
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+6.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
30
Yards / Game
11
26
Passing Yards / Game
2
32
Rushing Yards / Game
29
11
EPA
EPA / Play
21
30
EPA / Pass
17
29
EPA / Rush
17
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
22
Interceptions / Game
29
26
Fumbles / Game
29
24
Turnover EPA / Game
5
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
30
4th Down Efficiency
8
25
RZ Efficiency
29
29
Eagles Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
12
Yards / Game
9
16
Passing Yards / Game
10
28
Rushing Yards / Game
9
6
EPA
EPA / Play
7
16
EPA / Pass
10
21
EPA / Rush
6
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
10
Interceptions / Game
24
19
Fumbles / Game
25
8
Turnover EPA / Game
8
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
24
4th Down Efficiency
1
32
RZ Efficiency
9
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
7-3
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U