MINVikings
2-2
28
TBD
MetLife Stadium
66°F
10 mph
10
NYGGiants
2-2
TBD
MetLife Stadium
66°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
3
13
7
3
26
Giants
0
7
3
0
10
Spread
-6
Total
UNDER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
490
211
Total Plays
64
62
Yards / Play
7.7
3.4
EPA / Play
+0.25
-0.10
Passing Yards
279
147
Comp/Att
22/27(81%)
21/38(55%)
Yards / Pass
10.3
3.9
EPA / Pass
+0.75
-0.29
Rushing Yards
211
64
Rush Attempts
34
20
Yards / Rush
6.2
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
18
Passing 1st downs
14
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
5
3rd Down %
45%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
40%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.39
-2.42
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-27
-35
Sack EPA
-4.25
-6.34
Penalties
12
5
Penalty Yards
112
45
Penalty EPA
-15.15
-6.55
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market69.8%
Model65.8%
Spread Pick
Giants+6.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-78
Home nfelo
1,411
Away nfelo
1,550
Home Field
+64.8
Base HFA
+55.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+9.8
Net QB Adjustment
-3.8
Home QB Adjustment
-14.7
Away QB Adjustment
-10.9
Market Regression
+3.6
Final Difference
-113.4
Model Spread
+4.0
Quarterbacks
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-10.9
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-14.7
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
30
Yards / Game
19
26
Passing Yards / Game
32
17
Rushing Yards / Game
8
20
EPA
EPA / Play
10
24
EPA / Pass
9
28
EPA / Rush
12
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
13
Interceptions / Game
7
25
Fumbles / Game
25
28
Turnover EPA / Game
21
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
20
4th Down Efficiency
16
24
RZ Efficiency
10
17
Giants Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
6
Yards / Game
23
13
Passing Yards / Game
16
24
Rushing Yards / Game
19
17
EPA
EPA / Play
26
5
EPA / Pass
27
6
EPA / Rush
11
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
23
Interceptions / Game
25
3
Fumbles / Game
32
3
Turnover EPA / Game
2
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
19
4th Down Efficiency
18
22
RZ Efficiency
17
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
2-8
O/U
Giants
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U