MINVikings
5-5
30
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
66°F
5 mph
12
JAXJaguars
4-6
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
66°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
11
0
3
10
24
Jaguars
7
3
0
0
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
226
321
Total Plays
57
63
Yards / Play
4.0
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.01
-0.34
Passing Yards
104
286
Comp/Att
12/20(60%)
27/45(60%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
6.4
EPA / Pass
-0.29
+0.00
Rushing Yards
122
35
Rush Attempts
34
14
Yards / Rush
3.6
2.5
EPA / Rush
+0.13
-0.86
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
17
Passing 1st downs
5
13
Rushing 1st downs
9
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
31%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
50%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
5
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
-2.60
-19.04
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-16
-31
Sack EPA
-3.94
-5.00
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
49
81
Penalty EPA
-4.74
-9.69
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
21
Yards / Game
17
18
Passing Yards / Game
11
14
Rushing Yards / Game
4
14
EPA
EPA / Play
27
26
EPA / Pass
26
30
EPA / Rush
15
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
8
Interceptions / Game
23
18
Fumbles / Game
23
32
Turnover EPA / Game
5
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
21
4th Down Efficiency
15
10
RZ Efficiency
28
25
Jaguars Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
12
Yards / Game
20
8
Passing Yards / Game
6
28
Rushing Yards / Game
18
2
EPA
EPA / Play
18
5
EPA / Pass
19
7
EPA / Rush
6
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
7
Interceptions / Game
11
21
Fumbles / Game
20
3
Turnover EPA / Game
16
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
4
4th Down Efficiency
8
4
RZ Efficiency
15
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U