MINVikings
6-5
21
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
016
DETLions
4-7
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
7
7
7
0
21
Lions
3
3
3
7
16
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
345
223
Total Plays
57
59
Yards / Play
6.1
3.8
EPA / Play
+0.13
-0.01
Passing Yards
242
118
Comp/Att
17/23(74%)
17/35(49%)
Yards / Pass
10.5
3.4
EPA / Pass
+0.47
-0.29
Rushing Yards
103
105
Rush Attempts
32
23
Yards / Rush
3.2
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.02
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
19
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
27%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-1.80
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-14
-8
Sack EPA
-2.85
-1.95
Penalties
11
3
Penalty Yards
94
30
Penalty EPA
-7.30
-5.07
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
21
Yards / Game
25
20
Passing Yards / Game
15
12
Rushing Yards / Game
27
24
EPA
EPA / Play
24
18
EPA / Pass
19
18
EPA / Rush
27
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
21
Interceptions / Game
17
7
Fumbles / Game
22
9
Turnover EPA / Game
13
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
20
4th Down Efficiency
17
21
RZ Efficiency
23
17
Lions Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
19
Yards / Game
27
21
Passing Yards / Game
21
7
Rushing Yards / Game
26
19
EPA
EPA / Play
29
9
EPA / Pass
28
16
EPA / Rush
17
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
2
Interceptions / Game
23
2
Fumbles / Game
12
23
Turnover EPA / Game
9
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
30
4th Down Efficiency
21
12
RZ Efficiency
15
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U