MINVikings
7-6
28
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
027
DETLions
5-8
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
7
7
0
14
28
Lions
3
10
0
14
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
461
465
Total Plays
63
72
Yards / Play
7.3
6.5
EPA / Play
+0.17
+0.15
Passing Yards
370
352
Comp/Att
25/35(71%)
25/45(56%)
Yards / Pass
10.6
7.8
EPA / Pass
+0.54
+0.18
Rushing Yards
91
113
Rush Attempts
23
25
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.06
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
24
Passing 1st downs
15
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
64%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
9
7
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
100%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.73
-11.10
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-34
-11
Sack EPA
-6.91
-2.82
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
70
25
Penalty EPA
-7.95
+2.41
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
18
Yards / Game
3
20
Passing Yards / Game
1
11
Rushing Yards / Game
17
16
EPA
EPA / Play
5
16
EPA / Pass
2
21
EPA / Rush
9
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
17
Interceptions / Game
8
22
Fumbles / Game
5
21
Turnover EPA / Game
20
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
27
4th Down Efficiency
7
9
RZ Efficiency
14
18
Lions Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
25
Yards / Game
24
29
Passing Yards / Game
19
30
Rushing Yards / Game
18
20
EPA
EPA / Play
24
30
EPA / Pass
25
29
EPA / Rush
6
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
8
Interceptions / Game
9
24
Fumbles / Game
1
18
Turnover EPA / Game
29
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
30
4th Down Efficiency
25
25
RZ Efficiency
30
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U