MINVikings
3-4
24
TBD
Lambeau Field
39°F
8 mph
10
GBPackers
2-4
TBD
Lambeau Field
39°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
7
3
14
0
24
Packers
0
3
7
0
10
Spread
+0
Total
UNDER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
346
270
Total Plays
69
62
Yards / Play
5.0
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.07
-0.24
Passing Yards
284
196
Comp/Att
26/35(74%)
24/41(59%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.48
-0.19
Rushing Yards
62
74
Rush Attempts
31
17
Yards / Rush
2.0
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.42
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
16
Passing 1st downs
14
14
Rushing 1st downs
6
1
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
56%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
10
5
3rd Down Attempts
18
14
Red Zone %
50%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.60
-4.75
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-13
-33
Sack EPA
-5.97
-6.32
Penalties
7
11
Penalty Yards
35
99
Penalty EPA
-6.25
-9.96
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
Market50.0%
Model50.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-21
Home nfelo
1,479
Away nfelo
1,511
Home Field
+38.8
Base HFA
+43.2
Divisional Adj
-19.5
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-27.7
Home QB Adjustment
-16.3
Away QB Adjustment
+11.4
Market Regression
-7.9
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+11.4
J. Love
Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
-16.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
13
Yards / Game
11
22
Passing Yards / Game
2
26
Rushing Yards / Game
29
28
EPA
EPA / Play
21
25
EPA / Pass
17
23
EPA / Rush
17
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
30
Interceptions / Game
29
28
Fumbles / Game
29
12
Turnover EPA / Game
5
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
28
4th Down Efficiency
8
5
RZ Efficiency
29
13
Packers Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
12
Yards / Game
10
16
Passing Yards / Game
25
28
Rushing Yards / Game
14
6
EPA
EPA / Play
5
16
EPA / Pass
2
21
EPA / Rush
14
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
10
Interceptions / Game
14
19
Fumbles / Game
5
8
Turnover EPA / Game
30
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
24
4th Down Efficiency
16
32
RZ Efficiency
17
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Packers
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U