MINVikings
7-8
10
TBD
Lambeau Field
11°F
9 mph
37
GBPackers
12-3
TBD
Lambeau Field
11°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
0
3
7
0
10
Packers
3
17
10
7
37
Spread
-7
Total
OVER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
206
481
Total Plays
52
74
Yards / Play
4.0
6.5
EPA / Play
-0.29
+0.23
Passing Yards
179
--
Comp/Att
24/39(62%)
31/42(74%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
--
EPA / Pass
-0.32
+0.23
Rushing Yards
27
174
Rush Attempts
11
32
Yards / Rush
2.5
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.17
+0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
29
Passing 1st downs
8
17
Rushing 1st downs
2
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
17%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
100%
43%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
7
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-15
--
Sack EPA
-2.83
--
Penalties
3
1
Penalty Yards
23
--
Penalty EPA
-2.92
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-10.0
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model79.0%
Spread Pick
Packers-7.0
Expected Value
+25.5%
Cover Probability
62.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+279
Home nfelo
1,628
Away nfelo
1,524
Home Field
+19.9
Base HFA
+36.2
Divisional Adj
-16.3
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+155.0
Home QB Adjustment
+19.0
Away QB Adjustment
-135.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
230.5
Model Spread
-10.0
Quarterbacks
S. Mannion
Proj. Value
-3.7
Team Elo Adj
-135.9
Value
Ptile
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+19.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
10
Yards / Game
10
8
Passing Yards / Game
15
15
Rushing Yards / Game
17
10
EPA
EPA / Play
18
22
EPA / Pass
12
7
EPA / Rush
26
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
20
Interceptions / Game
2
7
Fumbles / Game
7
16
Turnover EPA / Game
30
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
24
4th Down Efficiency
15
7
RZ Efficiency
10
23
Packers Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
24
Yards / Game
12
30
Passing Yards / Game
8
24
Rushing Yards / Game
19
26
EPA
EPA / Play
3
15
EPA / Pass
3
6
EPA / Rush
7
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
29
Interceptions / Game
1
12
Fumbles / Game
6
18
Turnover EPA / Game
32
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
4
4th Down Efficiency
9
11
RZ Efficiency
18
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U
Packers
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U