MINVikings
2-0
22
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
80°F
010
CARPanthers
1-1
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
80°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
0
0
8
6
14
Panthers
10
0
0
0
10
Spread
+6.5
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
213
306
Total Plays
55
72
Yards / Play
3.9
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.14
-0.32
Passing Yards
153
201
Comp/Att
18/28(64%)
22/36(61%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
5.6
EPA / Pass
-0.03
-0.44
Rushing Yards
60
105
Rush Attempts
25
28
Yards / Rush
2.4
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.26
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
18
Passing 1st downs
11
10
Rushing 1st downs
2
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
25%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-8.04
Sacks
2
8
Sack Yards
-18
-64
Sack EPA
-4.43
-10.65
Penalties
6
10
Penalty Yards
42
65
Penalty EPA
-2.08
-7.38
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model71.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+122
Home nfelo
1,605
Away nfelo
1,548
Home Field
+87.7
Base HFA
+57.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
+10.3
Net QB Adjustment
-22.9
Home QB Adjustment
+16.4
Away QB Adjustment
+39.3
Market Regression
-5.5
Final Difference
155.5
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+39.3
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+16.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
26
Yards / Game
28
21
Passing Yards / Game
30
32
Rushing Yards / Game
32
7
EPA
EPA / Play
23
11
EPA / Pass
14
17
EPA / Rush
32
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
14
Interceptions / Game
2
4
Fumbles / Game
22
8
Turnover EPA / Game
29
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
11
4th Down Efficiency
22
27
RZ Efficiency
29
2
Panthers Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
5
Yards / Game
19
3
Passing Yards / Game
18
4
Rushing Yards / Game
10
19
EPA
EPA / Play
22
4
EPA / Pass
25
2
EPA / Rush
14
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
10
Interceptions / Game
28
14
Fumbles / Game
16
2
Turnover EPA / Game
5
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
15
4th Down Efficiency
7
2
RZ Efficiency
11
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
6-4
SU
8-2
ATS
4-6
O/U
Panthers
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U