MINVikings
0-3
21
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
78°F
7 mph
13
CARPanthers
0-3
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
78°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
0
7
8
0
15
Panthers
1
6
0
0
7
Spread
-4.5
Total
UNDER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
265
232
Total Plays
44
68
Yards / Play
6.0
3.4
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.24
Passing Yards
130
149
Comp/Att
12/19(63%)
25/32(78%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
4.7
EPA / Pass
-0.57
-0.41
Rushing Yards
135
83
Rush Attempts
23
31
Yards / Rush
5.9
2.7
EPA / Rush
+0.18
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
20
Passing 1st downs
9
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
13%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
1
5
3rd Down Attempts
8
14
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-16.37
-10.27
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-9
-55
Sack EPA
-2.53
-19.53
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
37
80
Penalty EPA
-6.08
-7.14
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market66.6%
Model57.7%
Spread Pick
Panthers+4.5
Expected Value
+17.9%
Cover Probability
61.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-1
Home nfelo
1,425
Away nfelo
1,466
Home Field
+65.5
Base HFA
+42.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.0
Time Adj
+7.7
Net QB Adjustment
-26.0
Home QB Adjustment
-7.7
Away QB Adjustment
+18.3
Market Regression
-17.6
Final Difference
-53.8
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+18.3
B. Young
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-7.7
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
29
Yards / Game
11
3
Passing Yards / Game
2
1
Rushing Yards / Game
29
23
EPA
EPA / Play
21
27
EPA / Pass
17
17
EPA / Rush
17
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
2
Interceptions / Game
29
29
Fumbles / Game
29
32
Turnover EPA / Game
5
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
14
4th Down Efficiency
8
31
RZ Efficiency
29
28
Panthers Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
12
Yards / Game
32
16
Passing Yards / Game
28
28
Rushing Yards / Game
20
6
EPA
EPA / Play
29
16
EPA / Pass
30
21
EPA / Rush
18
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
10
Interceptions / Game
6
19
Fumbles / Game
22
8
Turnover EPA / Game
11
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
24
4th Down Efficiency
21
32
RZ Efficiency
21
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
4-6
SU
2-7-1
ATS
7-3
O/U
Panthers
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
5-5
O/U