MINVikings
3-7
17
TBD
Gillette Stadium
49°F
20 mph
24
NEPatriots
5-5
TBD
Gillette Stadium
49°F
20 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
0
7
7
3
17
Patriots
7
14
0
3
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
417
299
Total Plays
78
69
Yards / Play
5.3
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.06
+0.01
Passing Yards
264
219
Comp/Att
24/49(49%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
6.4
EPA / Pass
-0.01
+0.21
Rushing Yards
153
80
Rush Attempts
25
33
Yards / Rush
6.1
2.4
EPA / Rush
+0.04
-0.28
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
20
Passing 1st downs
16
14
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
47%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
3
0
Turnover EPA
-10.60
--
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-8
-20
Sack EPA
-5.61
-4.76
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
74
25
Penalty EPA
-8.61
-3.52
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
15
Yards / Game
1
23
Passing Yards / Game
12
7
Rushing Yards / Game
1
31
EPA
EPA / Play
12
19
EPA / Pass
13
8
EPA / Rush
2
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
23
Interceptions / Game
30
12
Fumbles / Game
27
12
Turnover EPA / Game
6
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
26
4th Down Efficiency
19
27
RZ Efficiency
9
31
Patriots Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
30
Yards / Game
22
26
Passing Yards / Game
21
19
Rushing Yards / Game
28
9
EPA
EPA / Play
10
29
EPA / Pass
18
32
EPA / Rush
16
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
4
Interceptions / Game
9
19
Fumbles / Game
5
29
Turnover EPA / Game
26
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
16
4th Down Efficiency
20
2
RZ Efficiency
16
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U