MINVikings
6-6
3
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
00
OAKRaiders
5-7
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
0
0
0
3
3
Raiders
0
0
0
0
0
Spread
3
P
Total
UNDER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
231
202
Total Plays
71
53
Yards / Play
3.3
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.32
-0.52
Passing Yards
99
146
Comp/Att
19/36(53%)
21/32(66%)
Yards / Pass
2.8
4.6
EPA / Pass
-0.34
-0.74
Rushing Yards
132
56
Rush Attempts
30
17
Yards / Rush
4.4
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.08
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
8
Passing 1st downs
9
5
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
40%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
20
14
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-8.87
Sacks
5
4
Sack Yards
-47
-25
Sack EPA
-9.48
-6.02
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
36
37
Penalty EPA
-2.97
-4.66
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model58.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-17
Home nfelo
1,458
Away nfelo
1,530
Home Field
+39.0
Base HFA
+45.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+13.0
Away Bye Adj
-35.3
Surface Adj
+15.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+15.8
Home QB Adjustment
-43.7
Away QB Adjustment
-59.4
Market Regression
-41.9
Final Difference
-57.9
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
R. Dobbs
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-59.4
A. O'Connell
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-43.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
7
Yards / Game
11
14
Passing Yards / Game
2
27
Rushing Yards / Game
29
20
EPA
EPA / Play
21
5
EPA / Pass
17
9
EPA / Rush
17
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
20
Interceptions / Game
29
17
Fumbles / Game
29
21
Turnover EPA / Game
5
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
25
4th Down Efficiency
8
23
RZ Efficiency
29
27
Raiders Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
12
Yards / Game
27
16
Passing Yards / Game
32
28
Rushing Yards / Game
30
6
EPA
EPA / Play
24
16
EPA / Pass
22
21
EPA / Rush
26
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
10
Interceptions / Game
28
19
Fumbles / Game
10
8
Turnover EPA / Game
13
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
24
4th Down Efficiency
6
32
RZ Efficiency
24
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
2-8
O/U
Raiders
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
2-8
O/U