MINVikings
1-3
30
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
027
NOSaints
2-2
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
4
10
0
10
24
Saints
10
0
1
4
15
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
270
375
Total Plays
64
69
Yards / Play
4.2
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.14
-0.21
Passing Yards
226
320
Comp/Att
20/37(54%)
26/46(57%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
7.0
EPA / Pass
+0.13
+0.08
Rushing Yards
44
55
Rush Attempts
26
22
Yards / Rush
1.7
2.5
EPA / Rush
-0.33
-0.58
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
17
Passing 1st downs
12
14
Rushing 1st downs
2
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
33%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
33%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-14.98
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
--
-10
Sack EPA
-0.51
-5.77
Penalties
7
11
Penalty Yards
60
102
Penalty EPA
+8.91
-8.80
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
26
Yards / Game
17
23
Passing Yards / Game
11
11
Rushing Yards / Game
4
17
EPA
EPA / Play
27
22
EPA / Pass
26
18
EPA / Rush
15
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
30
Interceptions / Game
23
14
Fumbles / Game
23
26
Turnover EPA / Game
5
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
18
4th Down Efficiency
15
19
RZ Efficiency
28
10
Saints Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
12
Yards / Game
1
8
Passing Yards / Game
3
28
Rushing Yards / Game
28
2
EPA
EPA / Play
3
5
EPA / Pass
1
7
EPA / Rush
21
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
7
Interceptions / Game
24
21
Fumbles / Game
10
3
Turnover EPA / Game
8
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
4
4th Down Efficiency
12
4
RZ Efficiency
5
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U