MINVikings
5-3
20
TBD
Lumen Field
60°F
5 mph
30
SEASeahawks
4-4
TBD
Lumen Field
60°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
7
10
3
0
20
Seahawks
14
6
7
3
30
Spread
-4.5
Total
OVER
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
287
385
Total Plays
53
71
Yards / Play
5.4
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.16
+0.23
Passing Yards
44
190
Comp/Att
11/22(50%)
17/25(68%)
Yards / Pass
2.0
7.6
EPA / Pass
-0.47
+0.47
Rushing Yards
243
195
Rush Attempts
27
45
Yards / Rush
9.0
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.41
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
28
Passing 1st downs
4
12
Rushing 1st downs
10
13
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
30%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.39
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-19
-8
Sack EPA
-5.78
-1.07
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
--
49
Penalty EPA
--
-4.68
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market66.1%
Model66.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+126
Home nfelo
1,503
Away nfelo
1,443
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+3.2
Home QB Adjustment
+3.8
Away QB Adjustment
+0.6
Market Regression
+38.2
Final Difference
116.0
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
C. Ponder
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
+0.6
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+1.1
Team Elo Adj
+3.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
1
Yards / Game
20
3
Passing Yards / Game
30
2
Rushing Yards / Game
3
11
EPA
EPA / Play
14
5
EPA / Pass
22
5
EPA / Rush
4
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
18
Interceptions / Game
8
6
Fumbles / Game
21
19
Turnover EPA / Game
20
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
21
4th Down Efficiency
16
2
RZ Efficiency
17
6
Seahawks Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
16
Yards / Game
14
15
Passing Yards / Game
23
30
Rushing Yards / Game
4
10
EPA
EPA / Play
2
15
EPA / Pass
4
24
EPA / Rush
5
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
21
Interceptions / Game
5
29
Fumbles / Game
22
9
Turnover EPA / Game
31
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
24
4th Down Efficiency
12
24
RZ Efficiency
15
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Seahawks
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U