MINVikings
2-7
20
TBD
Lumen Field
50°F
14 mph
41
SEASeahawks
9-1
TBD
Lumen Field
50°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
3
10
0
7
20
Seahawks
10
14
0
11
35
Spread
-13
Total
OVER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
336
323
Total Plays
70
50
Yards / Play
4.8
6.5
EPA / Play
-0.12
+0.23
Passing Yards
204
230
Comp/Att
18/35(51%)
14/21(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
11.0
EPA / Pass
-0.41
+0.52
Rushing Yards
132
93
Rush Attempts
33
28
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
16
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
36%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
0%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-18.97
--
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-3
-6
Sack EPA
-4.99
-2.19
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
20
96
Penalty EPA
-2.07
-12.10
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-13.0
Current
-13.0
Model
-13.0
Win Probability
Market84.9%
Model84.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+278
Home nfelo
1,647
Away nfelo
1,440
Home Field
+73.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-3.6
Home QB Adjustment
+7.5
Away QB Adjustment
+11.1
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
300.0
Model Spread
-13.0
Quarterbacks
C. Ponder
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
+11.1
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+7.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
1
Yards / Game
15
1
Passing Yards / Game
21
5
Rushing Yards / Game
9
7
EPA
EPA / Play
15
1
EPA / Pass
27
1
EPA / Rush
1
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
16
Interceptions / Game
20
1
Fumbles / Game
29
13
Turnover EPA / Game
8
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
9
4th Down Efficiency
14
7
RZ Efficiency
17
2
Seahawks Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
32
Yards / Game
22
31
Passing Yards / Game
28
32
Rushing Yards / Game
4
16
EPA
EPA / Play
12
29
EPA / Pass
4
29
EPA / Rush
21
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
11
Interceptions / Game
2
25
Fumbles / Game
21
27
Turnover EPA / Game
29
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
30
4th Down Efficiency
19
25
RZ Efficiency
14
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
Seahawks
9-1
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U