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  4. 2016

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
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    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
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    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
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    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Andrew Luck headshot

Andrew Luck

2016 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
97
9th in the NFL
Total Yards
4,596
5th in the NFL
Total TDs
33
5th in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
+97
9th
EPA / DB
+0.14
12th
Success Rate
50.2%
11th
CPOE
+1.2%
23rd
ANY/A
6.9
14th
QBR
65.9
10th
Passer Rating
96.9
13th
Passing Yards
4,240
8th
Yards / Attempt
7.8
9th
Passing TDs
31
5th
Interceptions
13
42nd
Rushing Yards
356
7th
Yards / Carry
7.7
4th
Rushing TDs
2
15th

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
DET logo
DET
H
Start
+0.33
+17.5
406
4
--
119.5
+258.5
2
DEN logo
DEN
A
Start
-0.19
-9.6
220
1
1
64.3
-145.7
3
LAC logo
LAC
H
Start
-0.06
-2.5
331
1
1
91.2
+14.8
4
JAX logo
JAX
A
Start
+0.08
+4.4
257
2
1
86.8
-95.6
5
CHI logo
CHI
H
Start
+0.16
+8.0
337
2
--
113.4
+54.2
6
HOU logo
HOU
A
Start
+0.05
+2.1
305
2
1
87.0
+103.3
7
TEN logo
TEN
A
Start
+0.39
+18.9
372
3
--
123.1
+206.2
8
KC logo
KC
H
Start
-0.16
-8.4
271
2
1
79.5
-74.9
9
GB logo
GB
A
Start
+0.11
+4.8
299
1
2
74.0
-56.1
10BYE WEEK
11
TEN logo
TEN
H
Start
+0.33
+11.7
288
2
1
94.6
-29.8
12
PIT logo
PIT
H
DNP
13
NYJ logo
NYJ
A
Start
+0.74
+25.2
304
4
--
147.6
+254.4
14
HOU logo
HOU
H
Start
-0.07
-3.4
309
2
2
68.4
-2.4
15
MIN logo
MIN
A
Start
+0.52
+16.2
258
2
--
125.6
+168.6
16
OAK logo
OAK
A
Start
+0.27
+9.3
301
3
2
92.3
+101.5
17
JAX logo
JAX
H
Start
+0.07
+3.4
338
2
1
96.5
+14.6