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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. bailey-zappe...
  4. 2023

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Bailey Zappe headshot

Bailey Zappe

2023 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
-87
64th in the NFL
Total Yards
1,356
36th in the NFL
Total TDs
7
38th in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
-87
64th
EPA / DB
-0.34
62nd
Success Rate
33.0%
63rd
CPOE
-4.4%
50th
ANY/A
3.4
55th
QBR
--
Passer Rating
69.1
55th
Passing Yards
1,272
37th
Yards / Attempt
6.0
51st
Passing TDs
6
38th
Interceptions
9
51st
Rushing Yards
84
34th
Yards / Carry
5.3
34th
Rushing TDs
1
32nd

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
PHI logo
PHI
H
DNP
2
MIA logo
MIA
H
DNP
3
NYJ logo
NYJ
A
DNP
4
DAL logo
DAL
A
Sub
-0.30
-3.0
57
0
--
65.5
5
NO logo
NO
H
Sub
-0.84
-7.6
22
0
--
42.4
6
OAK logo
OAK
A
DNP
7
BUF logo
BUF
H
DNP
8
MIA logo
MIA
A
DNP
9
WAS logo
WAS
H
DNP
10
IND logo
IND
H
Sub
-0.12
-0.8
25
0
1
13.1
11BYE WEEK
12
NYG logo
NYG
A
Sub
-0.43
-6.4
54
0
1
42.0
13
LAC logo
LAC
H
Start
-0.32
-11.1
157
0
--
68.9
-208.9
14
PIT logo
PIT
A
Start
-0.00
-0.1
253
3
1
115.2
+80.8
15
KC logo
KC
H
Start
-0.42
-15.9
182
1
1
85.4
-82.6
16
DEN logo
DEN
A
Start
+0.04
+1.4
258
2
--
120.8
+115.1
17
BUF logo
BUF
A
Start
-0.40
-13.0
247
1
3
47.3
-97.9
18
NYJ logo
NYJ
H
Start
-0.75
-30.2
101
0
2
20.1
-373.7