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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. chad-pennington...
  4. 2003

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Chad Pennington headshot

Chad Pennington

2003 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
30
14th in the NFL
Total Yards
2,186
26th in the NFL
Total TDs
15
21st in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
+30
14th
EPA / DB
+0.09
14th
Success Rate
45.9%
17th
CPOE
--
ANY/A
5.3
21st
QBR
--
Passer Rating
83.7
19th
Passing Yards
2,139
24th
Yards / Attempt
7.3
11th
Passing TDs
13
23rd
Interceptions
12
41st
Rushing Yards
47
30th
Yards / Carry
3.9
40th
Rushing TDs
2
14th

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
WAS logo
WAS
A
DNP
2
MIA logo
MIA
H
DNP
3
NE logo
NE
A
DNP
4
DAL logo
DAL
H
DNP
5BYE WEEK
6
BUF logo
BUF
H
DNP
7
HOU logo
HOU
A
DNP
8
PHI logo
PHI
A
Sub
-0.18
-4.3
154
0
1
65.3
9
NYG logo
NYG
H
Start
+0.22
+11.2
283
4
2
91.2
+67.2
10
OAK logo
OAK
A
Start
+0.39
+11.0
269
2
--
123.8
+161.3
11
IND logo
IND
A
Start
+0.42
+7.5
222
3
--
158.3
+99.9
12
JAX logo
JAX
H
Start
+0.03
+1.2
236
1
1
78.6
-1.2
13
TEN logo
TEN
H
Start
+0.30
+8.7
247
2
2
101.3
+58.7
14
BUF logo
BUF
A
Start
-0.21
-7.2
159
0
1
53.1
-187.0
15
PIT logo
PIT
H
Start
+0.13
+3.6
146
0
--
76.1
-26.6
16
NE logo
NE
H
Start
-0.15
-8.1
249
2
5
31.2
-151.5
17
MIA logo
MIA
A
Start
+0.18
+6.3
221
1
--
111.5
+72.0