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nfelo

v4.0.0
Live
  • Scoreboard
  • QB EPA
Model
  • Games
  • Confidence Pool
  • Betting Card
  • Model Performance
Teams
  • Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
  • Strength of Schedule
  • Win Totals
QBs
  • QB Rankings
  • Era Adjusted Elo
  • QB Compare
Tools & More
  • Receiving Leaders
  • Head Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
  • NFL Odds Calculator
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nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era
  • QB Compare
    Compare quarterback stats side by side

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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QB Comparison

nfelo
Tim Couch headshot

T. Couch

Career
Donovan McNabb headshot

D. McNabb

Career
Akili Smith headshot

A. Smith

Career
Daunte Culpepper headshot

D. Culpepper

Career
Cade McNown headshot

C. McNown

Career

Overview

Starts
59
160
17
100
15
Wins
22
97
3
42
8

Passing

Comp%
59.9%
59.2%
47.0%
63.3%
55.1%
Passing Yards
11,088
37,187
2,193
24,113
3,087
YPA
6.5
7.0
4.8
7.6
6.1
Passing TDs
64
233
5
149
16
Interceptions
66
114
13
104
16

Rushing

Rushing Yards
547
3,535
323
2,639
472
Rushing TDs
2
28
1
34
3

Ratings

Passer Rating
75.5
86.0
53.2
88.4
70.8
ANY/A
4.4
5.9
2.7
6.0
4.4
QBR
--
55.3
--
49.4
--

Advanced

Total EPA
-112
+435
-133
+377
-61
EPA / Dropback
-0.05
+0.07
-0.23
+0.09
-0.10
Success Rate
40.3%
45.0%
33.3%
47.8%
39.4%
CPOE
--
-1.6%
--
-2.8%
--

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