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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. daniel-jones...
  4. 2023

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Daniel Jones headshot

Daniel Jones

2023 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
-56
61st in the NFL
Total Yards
1,115
42nd in the NFL
Total TDs
3
50th in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
-56
61st
EPA / DB
-0.24
56th
Success Rate
41.2%
51st
CPOE
+0.3%
25th
ANY/A
2.7
60th
QBR
--
Passer Rating
70.5
53rd
Passing Yards
909
42nd
Yards / Attempt
5.7
55th
Passing TDs
2
55th
Interceptions
6
33rd
Rushing Yards
206
16th
Yards / Carry
5.4
29th
Rushing TDs
1
30th

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
DAL logo
DAL
H
Start
-0.52
-26.1
147
0
2
32.4
-333.2
2
ARI logo
ARI
A
Start
+0.29
+14.5
380
3
1
103.5
+171.0
3
SF logo
SF
A
Start
-0.20
-7.7
142
0
1
64.2
-101.8
4
SEA logo
SEA
H
Start
-0.52
-28.7
269
0
2
67.0
-214.2
5
MIA logo
MIA
A
Start
-0.03
-0.9
143
0
--
85.2
-194.1
6
BUF logo
BUF
A
DNP
7
WAS logo
WAS
H
DNP
8
NYJ logo
NYJ
H
DNP
9
OAK logo
OAK
A
Start
-0.56
-7.3
34
0
--
51.6
-222.3
10
DAL logo
DAL
A
DNP
11
WAS logo
WAS
A
DNP
12
NE logo
NE
H
DNP
13BYE WEEK
14
GB logo
GB
H
DNP
15
NO logo
NO
A
DNP
16
PHI logo
PHI
A
DNP
17
LAR logo
LAR
H
DNP
18
PHI logo
PHI
H
DNP