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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. derek-carr...
  4. 2023

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
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    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Derek Carr headshot

Derek Carr

2023 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
31
17th in the NFL
Total Yards
3,939
15th in the NFL
Total TDs
25
14th in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
+31
17th
EPA / DB
+0.05
27th
Success Rate
46.7%
25th
CPOE
+3.0%
15th
ANY/A
6.6
12th
QBR
56.5
21st
Passer Rating
97.7
14th
Passing Yards
3,878
13th
Yards / Attempt
7.1
27th
Passing TDs
25
10th
Interceptions
8
44th
Rushing Yards
61
40th
Yards / Carry
4.4
45th
Rushing TDs
0
46th

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
TEN logo
TEN
H
Start
+0.14
+5.6
312
1
1
96.1
-41.8
2
CAR logo
CAR
A
Start
+0.00
+0.1
228
0
1
65.5
-192.1
3
GB logo
GB
A
Start
+0.00
+0.1
103
1
--
104.6
-96.1
4
TB logo
TB
H
Start
-0.21
-9.2
129
0
--
68.2
-126.6
5
NE logo
NE
A
Start
+0.13
+3.6
188
2
--
114.7
+43.9
6
HOU logo
HOU
A
Start
+0.09
+5.2
355
1
1
83.2
+38.0
7
JAX logo
JAX
H
Start
-0.30
-18.3
315
1
1
73.4
+9.7
8
IND logo
IND
A
Start
+0.48
+13.5
310
2
--
133.3
+117.9
9
CHI logo
CHI
H
Start
-0.02
-0.6
215
2
--
108.8
+75.8
10
MIN logo
MIN
A
Start
-0.10
-2.0
120
0
--
87.7
-110.1
11BYE WEEK
12
ATL logo
ATL
A
Start
+0.02
+0.9
312
0
1
77.1
-34.2
13
DET logo
DET
H
Start
+0.06
+1.4
226
1
1
105.5
-67.6
14
CAR logo
CAR
H
Start
-0.35
-9.6
119
2
1
88.5
-45.6
15
NYG logo
NYG
H
Start
+0.44
+13.8
218
3
--
134.8
+125.5
16
LAR logo
LAR
A
Start
+0.01
+0.4
322
3
1
106.1
+107.2
17
TB logo
TB
A
Start
+0.28
+9.2
197
2
--
111.1
+45.0
18
ATL logo
ATL
H
Start
+0.51
+16.4
270
4
--
145.5
+167.0