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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. deshaun-watson...
  4. 2017

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Deshaun Watson headshot

Deshaun Watson

2017 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
62
12th in the NFL
Total Yards
1,969
31st in the NFL
Total TDs
21
18th in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
+62
12th
EPA / DB
+0.22
5th
Success Rate
49.8%
9th
CPOE
+2.3%
15th
ANY/A
7.3
9th
QBR
83.7
2nd
Passer Rating
104.0
4th
Passing Yards
1,699
31st
Yards / Attempt
8.4
4th
Passing TDs
19
21st
Interceptions
8
36th
Rushing Yards
270
11th
Yards / Carry
7.7
8th
Rushing TDs
2
14th

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
JAX logo
JAX
H
Sub
-0.30
-10.9
118
1
1
60.4
2
CIN logo
CIN
A
Start
+0.03
+1.2
192
1
--
75.9
+39.2
3
NE logo
NE
A
Start
+0.23
+10.7
342
2
2
90.6
+43.1
4
TEN logo
TEN
H
Start
+0.65
+28.1
307
5
1
125.0
+239.2
5
KC logo
KC
H
Start
+0.45
+17.0
292
5
--
125.1
+162.8
6
CLE logo
CLE
H
Start
-0.01
-0.5
249
3
1
103.4
+29.3
7BYE WEEK
8
SEA logo
SEA
A
Start
+0.37
+16.5
469
4
3
106.9
+128.8
9
IND logo
IND
H
DNP
10
LAR logo
LAR
A
DNP
11
ARI logo
ARI
H
DNP
12
BAL logo
BAL
A
DNP
13
TEN logo
TEN
A
DNP
14
SF logo
SF
H
DNP
15
JAX logo
JAX
A
DNP
16
PIT logo
PIT
H
DNP
17
IND logo
IND
A
DNP