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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. drew-brees...
  4. 2016

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
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    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
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    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
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    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
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    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Drew Brees headshot

Drew Brees

2016 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
121
6th in the NFL
Total Yards
5,240
1st in the NFL
Total TDs
39
2nd in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
+121
6th
EPA / DB
+0.16
10th
Success Rate
52.0%
6th
CPOE
+4.2%
10th
ANY/A
7.3
9th
QBR
66.8
7th
Passer Rating
102.7
8th
Passing Yards
5,208
1st
Yards / Attempt
7.8
10th
Passing TDs
37
3rd
Interceptions
15
47th
Rushing Yards
32
31st
Yards / Carry
2.9
45th
Rushing TDs
2
9th

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
OAK logo
OAK
H
Start
+0.39
+18.5
428
4
--
137.8
+288.9
2
NYG logo
NYG
A
Start
-0.04
-1.9
263
1
--
89.5
+14.1
3
ATL logo
ATL
H
Start
-0.01
-0.8
385
3
1
97.5
+136.8
4
LAC logo
LAC
A
Start
+0.22
+8.4
207
2
2
74.7
-104.1
5BYE WEEK
6
CAR logo
CAR
H
Start
+0.41
+20.7
465
4
1
120.6
+296.1
7
KC logo
KC
A
Start
+0.25
+12.6
367
3
1
111.6
+251.2
8
SEA logo
SEA
H
Start
+0.37
+15.0
266
2
--
107.4
+157.1
9
SF logo
SF
A
Start
+0.36
+15.9
323
3
--
122.1
+181.8
10
DEN logo
DEN
H
Start
-0.19
-5.9
312
3
2
111.7
+136.2
11
CAR logo
CAR
A
Start
+0.09
+4.7
286
2
1
99.3
+85.2
12
LAR logo
LAR
H
Start
+0.34
+13.5
311
5
--
141.7
+273.4
13
DET logo
DET
H
Start
-0.16
-7.5
326
0
3
64.7
-77.0
14
TB logo
TB
A
Start
-0.10
-4.2
259
0
3
48.5
-149.4
15
ARI logo
ARI
A
Start
+0.30
+16.0
389
4
--
127.9
+264.6
16
TB logo
TB
H
Start
+0.23
+9.0
303
1
--
104.9
+41.6
17
ATL logo
ATL
A
Start
+0.14
+7.3
350
2
1
86.3
+35.7