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  4. 2021

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Drew Lock headshot

Drew Lock

2021 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
-2
39th in the NFL
Total Yards
840
41st in the NFL
Total TDs
4
46th in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
-2
39th
EPA / DB
-0.02
38th
Success Rate
42.1%
51st
CPOE
-3.3%
42nd
ANY/A
5.8
33rd
QBR
--
Passer Rating
81.1
43rd
Passing Yards
787
41st
Yards / Attempt
7.2
28th
Passing TDs
2
52nd
Interceptions
2
15th
Rushing Yards
53
40th
Yards / Carry
5.3
32nd
Rushing TDs
2
19th

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
NYG logo
NYG
A
DNP
2
JAX logo
JAX
A
DNP
3
NYJ logo
NYJ
H
DNP
4
BAL logo
BAL
H
Sub
-0.40
-9.9
113
0
1
52.3
5
PIT logo
PIT
A
DNP
6
OAK logo
OAK
H
DNP
7
CLE logo
CLE
A
DNP
8
WAS logo
WAS
H
DNP
9
DAL logo
DAL
A
DNP
10
PHI logo
PHI
H
DNP
11BYE WEEK
12
LAC logo
LAC
H
Sub
-0.47
-3.8
26
0
1
36.1
13
KC logo
KC
A
DNP
14
DET logo
DET
H
DNP
15
CIN logo
CIN
H
Sub
-0.04
-0.8
86
1
--
102.1
16
OAK logo
OAK
A
Start
-0.03
-0.8
163
0
--
87.9
-122.7
17
LAC logo
LAC
A
Start
+0.14
+4.6
255
1
--
116.3
+37.4
18
KC logo
KC
H
Start
+0.29
+8.5
197
2
--
71.9
+17.3