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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. gardner-minshew...
  4. 2023

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Gardner Minshew headshot

Gardner Minshew

2023 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
13
21st in the NFL
Total Yards
3,419
18th in the NFL
Total TDs
18
22nd in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
+13
21st
EPA / DB
+0.02
34th
Success Rate
43.4%
36th
CPOE
-3.3%
47th
ANY/A
5.8
29th
QBR
59.6
17th
Passer Rating
84.6
38th
Passing Yards
3,305
17th
Yards / Attempt
6.7
34th
Passing TDs
15
21st
Interceptions
9
49th
Rushing Yards
114
30th
Yards / Carry
5.0
38th
Rushing TDs
3
14th

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
JAX logo
JAX
H
Sub
-2.38
-4.8
0
0
--
39.6
2
HOU logo
HOU
A
Sub
+0.32
+8.0
174
1
--
112.1
3
BAL logo
BAL
A
Start
-0.17
-8.4
227
1
--
82.3
-88.6
4
LAR logo
LAR
H
DNP
5
TEN logo
TEN
H
Sub
+0.52
+9.3
157
0
--
112.8
6
JAX logo
JAX
A
Start
-0.20
-12.4
333
1
3
60.3
-138.5
7
CLE logo
CLE
H
Start
+0.12
+3.9
334
4
1
119.4
+171.9
8
NO logo
NO
H
Start
+0.01
+0.2
216
2
1
76.6
-33.9
9
CAR logo
CAR
A
Start
+0.15
+4.9
135
1
--
89.7
-54.2
10
NE logo
NE
A
Start
-0.01
-0.2
194
0
1
69.6
-56.8
11BYE WEEK
12
TB logo
TB
H
Start
+0.04
+1.7
258
1
1
66.2
-69.0
13
TEN logo
TEN
A
Start
+0.08
+3.7
318
2
--
100.5
+52.4
14
CIN logo
CIN
A
Start
-0.01
-0.3
246
1
1
81.1
-47.9
15
PIT logo
PIT
H
Start
+0.06
+2.0
216
3
--
123.4
+44.3
16
ATL logo
ATL
A
Start
-0.08
-4.0
233
0
1
58.5
-232.4
17
OAK logo
OAK
H
Start
+0.46
+12.4
228
1
--
111.5
+2.6
18
HOU logo
HOU
H
Start
-0.12
-3.3
150
0
--
71.7
-101.0