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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. jake-browning...
  4. 2023

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Jake Browning headshot

Jake Browning

2023 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
41
14th in the NFL
Total Yards
2,068
30th in the NFL
Total TDs
15
24th in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
+41
14th
EPA / DB
+0.14
9th
Success Rate
48.4%
15th
CPOE
+3.9%
12th
ANY/A
6.3
17th
QBR
60.1
15th
Passer Rating
98.4
13th
Passing Yards
1,936
30th
Yards / Attempt
8.0
8th
Passing TDs
12
25th
Interceptions
7
38th
Rushing Yards
132
27th
Yards / Carry
5.7
23rd
Rushing TDs
3
12th

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
CLE logo
CLE
A
Sub
-1.25
-1.2
0
0
--
39.6
2
BAL logo
BAL
H
DNP
3
LAR logo
LAR
H
DNP
4
TEN logo
TEN
A
DNP
5
ARI logo
ARI
A
DNP
6
SEA logo
SEA
H
DNP
7BYE WEEK
8
SF logo
SF
A
DNP
9
BUF logo
BUF
H
DNP
10
HOU logo
HOU
H
DNP
11
BAL logo
BAL
A
Sub
+0.06
+1.4
108
1
--
93.8
12
PIT logo
PIT
H
Start
-0.13
-4.2
237
1
1
96.2
-48.0
13
JAX logo
JAX
A
Start
+0.55
+23.0
376
2
--
115.5
+245.5
14
IND logo
IND
H
Start
+0.32
+9.3
282
3
1
122.7
+160.2
15
MIN logo
MIN
H
Start
+0.17
+8.2
327
2
1
97.7
+2.4
16
PIT logo
PIT
A
Start
-0.18
-8.8
335
1
3
69.0
-69.0
17
KC logo
KC
A
Start
+0.20
+10.0
229
2
--
85.0
-33.7
18
CLE logo
CLE
H
Start
+0.12
+3.6
174
3
1
113.9
+94.1