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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. mac-jones...
  4. 2023

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Mac Jones headshot

Mac Jones

2023 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
-61
62nd in the NFL
Total Yards
2,222
28th in the NFL
Total TDs
10
30th in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
-61
62nd
EPA / DB
-0.15
50th
Success Rate
44.1%
34th
CPOE
-2.9%
43rd
ANY/A
4.5
45th
QBR
36.7
34th
Passer Rating
77.0
48th
Passing Yards
2,120
28th
Yards / Attempt
6.1
49th
Passing TDs
10
30th
Interceptions
12
59th
Rushing Yards
102
31st
Yards / Carry
4.9
41st
Rushing TDs
0
62nd

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
PHI logo
PHI
H
Start
-0.19
-11.2
331
3
1
91.3
+139.5
2
MIA logo
MIA
H
Start
-0.04
-2.3
257
1
1
84.5
-25.1
3
NYJ logo
NYJ
A
Start
+0.11
+3.8
214
1
--
85.6
+16.7
4
DAL logo
DAL
A
Start
-0.69
-17.3
157
0
2
39.9
-154.1
5
NO logo
NO
H
Start
-0.65
-16.9
110
0
2
30.5
-225.1
6
OAK logo
OAK
A
Start
-0.06
-2.1
200
0
1
75.3
-125.0
7
BUF logo
BUF
H
Start
+0.28
+10.4
283
2
--
126.7
+217.5
8
MIA logo
MIA
A
Start
-0.29
-9.6
161
2
1
88.4
-77.1
9
WAS logo
WAS
H
Start
-0.08
-3.9
225
1
1
66.5
-67.0
10
IND logo
IND
H
Start
-0.08
-2.4
195
0
1
79.2
-154.7
11BYE WEEK
12
NYG logo
NYG
A
Start
-0.45
-9.9
89
0
2
27.8
-238.0
13
LAC logo
LAC
H
DNP
14
PIT logo
PIT
A
DNP
15
KC logo
KC
H
DNP
16
DEN logo
DEN
A
DNP
17
BUF logo
BUF
A
DNP
18
NYJ logo
NYJ
H
DNP